NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	88		Excitement	4.4 [915]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +9.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	1.5 [1117]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -23.9%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Dickerson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	13	59%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Doug West	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.00	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	76%	0.06	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.01
Cherokee Parks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	8	46%	-0.01	3	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Brent Price	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bryant Reeves	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	8	55%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.04
Obinna Ekezie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.03	-0.07	11	33%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.26,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.22	-0.05	-0.03	19	37%	-0.19	4	-0.05	13	69%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.01	22	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	12	62%	0.09	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	13	63%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Salley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	6	67%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Sam Jacobson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.2	29.5	19.7	28.0	2.4	42.5	148.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +44.9%

VAN -8.3%

LAL +0.7%

LAL +16.5%

VAN -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	LAL	NBA	VAN	LAL	NBA
this game	16.1	14.5	15.2	93.6	109.6	101.7
season	15.9	15.3		99.5	105.6
opponent	15.1	15.0		98.1	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	15.5	18.1	18.8	12.9	16.1
LAL	15.2	15.3	14.6	13.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Price	26	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-16	17	14.5	16.8	-2.32	15.1	14.3	0.86
Felipe Lopez	40	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-13	11	14.0	17.7	-3.64	14.5	14.5	0.02
Doug West	25	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-8	1	17.3	15.7	1.56	15.1	14.3	0.78
Obinna Ekezie	6	6	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-8	1	18.5	16.0	2.52	12.2	14.7	-2.49
Bryant Reeves	67	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	-7	-1	16.7	14.6	2.12	15.4	12.2	3.24
Cherokee Parks	31	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-5	-5	16.4	16.0	0.37	15.2	14.2	1.08
Othella Harrington	58	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-8	1	16.8	15.1	1.66	14.2	15.0	-0.75
Michael Dickerson	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	-5	-5	16.0	16.6	-0.57	14.4	14.9	-0.55
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	76	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	-4	-7	15.8	17.5	-1.68	14.1	16.2	-2.06
Mike Bibby	70	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	-1	-13	16.6	14.7	1.86	13.9	16.3	-2.46

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	64	66	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-2	19	14.3	15.0	-0.73	17.1	13.9	3.25
Derek Fisher	51	51	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.04	15	0	15	14.7	14.3	0.41	16.8	15.4	1.37
Glen Rice	65	64	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	1	13	15.4	12.6	2.82	17.2	13.9	3.29
A.C. Green	53	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	6	3	15.2	13.7	1.49	17.4	14.6	2.80
Brian Shaw	36	38	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	10	-5	15.6	13.8	1.80	16.6	15.8	0.78
Tyronn Lue	36	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	9	-3	13.4	15.2	-1.80	14.3	17.3	-2.93
Rick Fox	41	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	9	-3	13.7	15.2	-1.49	14.6	17.4	-2.80
Ron Harper	41	40	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	15	-15	16.0	13.3	2.70	18.1	14.6	3.50
Devean George	29	30	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	14	-13	12.6	15.4	-2.82	13.9	17.2	-3.29
Sam Jacobson	21	21	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	11	-7	11.0	15.5	-4.57	14.1	16.7	-2.57
Travis Knight	13	11	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.06	2	13	-11	11.2	15.0	-3.88	10.3	16.9	-6.64
John Salley	20	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	19	-23	17.5	13.7	3.87	14.9	16.4	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 77, HOU 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
BKN 86, ORL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
IND 97, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%