inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 98 Excitement3.0 [727] MVPRik Smits (IND): +10.1%
New Jersey Nets 120 Comeback2.0 [97] LVPDerrick McKey (IND): -8.2%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rik Smits0.100,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.10-0.00-0.00989%0.132-0.031100%0.00
Reggie Miller0.090,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.21-0.000.122171%0.0900.006100%0.02
Travis Best0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.01460%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Sam Perkins0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Al Harrington0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01357%0.0000.0010%0.00
Austin Croshere0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Chris Mullin-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01350%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Antonio Davis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01350%-0.0100.00667%0.00
Dale Davis-0.020,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.03750%0.012-0.03425%-0.02
Mark Jackson-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.13-0.00-0.07629%-0.034-0.042100%0.00
Jalen Rose-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.021046%-0.034-0.054100%0.00
Derrick McKey-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.010.00425%-0.042-0.0400%0.00

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephon Marbury0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.01-0.011570%0.123-0.037100%0.01
Lucious Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.03-0.00769%0.0900.00250%0.00
Keith Van Horn0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.011761%0.122-0.052100%0.01
Kerry Kittles0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.01-0.031154%0.0700.002100%0.01
Kendall Gill0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.100.000.061368%0.0400.00560%-0.01
Jamie Feick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.03575%0.052-0.016100%0.01
David Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.000.024100%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Elliot Perry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.010.022100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Chris Carr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mark Hendrickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.04430%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.22.524.214.730.01.728.5122.8
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NJN +40.4%
IND -2.4%
NJN +0.8%
NJN +10.7%
NJN +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDNJNNBAINDNJNNBA
this game16.016.915.8112.6136.499.6
season16.415.0105.496.5
opponent15.616.0100.6101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND14.817.414.318.216.0
NJN15.214.717.021.816.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Harrington560.00-0.500.500.000-222213.416.2-2.7810.017.4-7.39
Austin Croshere560.00-0.500.500.000-222213.416.2-2.7810.017.4-7.39
Chris Mullin2929-0.07-0.430.370.14-7-15814.216.9-2.6716.117.3-1.17
Sam Perkins56-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-181422.015.76.3412.317.2-4.89
Mark Jackson6363-0.16-0.340.180.14-10-12215.517.5-1.9817.216.21.01
Rik Smits4848-0.21-0.290.090.06-9-13415.117.1-2.0015.918.1-2.18
Dale Davis5152-0.24-0.260.030.03-9-13414.518.1-3.6115.319.1-3.76
Derrick McKey3636-0.26-0.24-0.030.12-13-9-418.114.53.6119.115.33.76
Jalen Rose5152-0.35-0.15-0.200.03-13-9-417.014.72.3115.818.5-2.68
Antonio Davis3838-0.36-0.14-0.210.05-14-8-617.814.63.1819.814.75.11
Travis Best3233-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.02-12-10-218.114.83.2319.015.63.43
Reggie Miller7271-0.39-0.11-0.280.17-19-3-1615.219.8-4.5617.414.62.78

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lucious Harris48460.470.030.44-0.2023-12417.216.50.6617.214.72.58
Stephon Marbury75750.400.100.31-0.182021817.712.25.5516.115.80.22
Keith Van Horn57560.400.100.31-0.121841415.319.9-4.6115.816.4-0.52
Kerry Kittles61610.340.160.180.051012-215.819.3-3.5315.417.5-2.16
Jamie Feick71720.330.170.16-0.141661017.713.54.2316.513.92.61
Kendall Gill62630.190.31-0.12-0.131111018.213.84.4216.016.0-0.03
David Vaughn17150.170.33-0.16-0.00616-1013.517.7-4.2313.916.5-2.61
Mark Hendrickson31310.100.40-0.31-0.02418-1419.915.34.6116.415.80.52
Elliot Perry13120.100.40-0.310.04220-1812.217.7-5.5515.816.1-0.22
Chris Carr540.000.50-0.500.00022-2211.017.2-6.2412.016.2-4.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 95, PHI 1050.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
ATL 113, SAC 1350.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
MEM 79, UTA 890.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,196.6%