NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	100		Excitement	2.1 [778]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +5.7%
Chicago Bulls	71		Comeback	1.0 [468]		LVP	Ron Harper (CHI): -10.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.05	11	64%	0.08	3	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	79%	0.04	3	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	8	87%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	13	35%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	64%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Ron Mercer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	13	46%	0.03	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Dwayne Schintzius	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Riley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marlon Garnett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	8	37%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	13	46%	-0.03	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.08	5	80%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	13	56%	0.01	5	-0.03	10	80%	-0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	8	19%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	14	44%	-0.04	4	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	11	27%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Ron Harper	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	0.00	-0.05	10	14%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	26.2	14.8	23.0	1.8	28.1	120.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +42.7%

BOS +3.0%

CHI -0.7%

BOS +3.9%

BOS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	13.4	15.6	15.8	101.0	71.0	99.6
season	15.0	16.7		98.1	90.6
opponent	15.4	15.8		101.1	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	11.1	12.5	15.0	14.8	13.4
CHI	18.2	16.3	13.3	14.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	74	74	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.32	27	2	25	13.3	13.4	-0.10	15.7	15.3	0.41
Paul Pierce	58	61	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.32	27	2	25	13.1	13.8	-0.71	15.8	15.3	0.51
Ron Mercer	57	58	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.28	24	5	19	13.0	13.8	-0.82	17.0	13.5	3.49
Dana Barros	49	51	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.28	23	6	17	13.3	13.4	-0.11	16.8	14.3	2.48
Vitaly Potapenko	48	52	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.23	16	13	3	12.7	13.9	-1.19	16.6	14.5	2.14
Walter McCarty	55	54	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	23	-17	13.7	12.9	0.82	15.2	16.0	-0.76
Eric Riley	11	11	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	23	-17	13.1	13.4	-0.31	16.0	15.5	0.48
Damon Jones	50	49	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.07	6	23	-17	13.4	13.3	0.11	14.3	16.8	-2.48
Greg Minor	43	42	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	25	-21	13.6	13.2	0.34	15.5	15.6	-0.16
Marlon Garnett	40	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	26	-23	14.1	12.9	1.19	13.2	17.1	-3.92
Dwayne Schintzius	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	26	-23	14.8	13.2	1.60	10.3	16.1	-5.75

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bill Wennington	22	21	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-32	35	13.7	16.1	-2.36	13.8	13.2	0.57
Keith Booth	24	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.08	-3	-26	23	14.5	15.9	-1.35	14.8	12.9	1.98
Rusty LaRue	22	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-26	23	13.8	16.1	-2.25	15.1	12.9	2.28
Cory Carr	34	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.13	-9	-20	11	15.4	15.7	-0.33	13.4	13.3	0.11
Kornel David	58	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-24	19	14.4	17.2	-2.79	14.0	12.4	1.57
Corey Benjamin	48	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.15	-10	-19	9	14.0	17.0	-3.02	13.7	13.0	0.69
Ron Harper	47	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.22	-19	-10	-9	17.1	14.2	2.98	12.8	13.8	-0.98
Randy Brown	63	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.21	-19	-10	-9	15.6	15.6	0.00	12.9	14.1	-1.22
Mark Bryant	64	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.43	-28	-1	-27	16.2	14.5	1.72	13.2	13.7	-0.50
Brent Barry	57	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.23	-24	-5	-19	16.8	13.9	2.88	12.4	14.5	-2.02
Dickey Simpkins	61	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.30	-28	-1	-27	16.7	13.8	2.95	12.9	14.1	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 118, BKN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
DET 115, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
MIL 105, IND 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%