NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	84		Excitement	5.3 [461]		MVP	John Crotty (SEA): +18.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	101		Comeback	1.2 [378]		LVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): -18.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Price	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	11	58%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Charles Barkley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	11	37%	-0.03	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Dickerson	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	9	11%	-0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.09	-0.04	15	46%	-0.10	5	-0.09	9	44%	-0.10

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.09	0.02	10	86%	0.24	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	15	47%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	72%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.02	1	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	27	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	-0.06	13	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	65.4	2.8	25.6	17.0	29.2	2.5	36.5	178.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +43.5%

HOU -5.7%

SEA +1.9%

SEA +7.7%

SEA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SEA	NBA	HOU	SEA	NBA
this game	16.5	15.4	15.8	92.3	113.5	99.6
season	16.0	15.4		103.1	102.4
opponent	15.9	15.6		103.5	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.4	19.4	15.9	13.4	16.5
SEA	13.5	16.6	19.1	13.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Dickerson	42	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-15	13	18.1	15.2	2.96	16.1	14.9	1.18
Cuttino Mobley	62	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-11	5	18.5	12.3	6.27	16.0	14.2	1.88
Hakeem Olajuwon	72	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.11	-14	-3	-11	15.4	20.8	-5.43	15.9	13.6	2.30
Scottie Pippen	75	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-6	-5	15.8	20.2	-4.49	15.3	16.3	-1.08
Othella Harrington	31	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-14	11	19.5	15.0	4.40	15.4	15.5	-0.05
Charles Barkley	79	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.10	-17	0	-17	16.4	17.2	-0.81	15.0	18.0	-3.00
Brent Price	45	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.08	-17	0	-17	15.1	18.0	-2.85	14.9	16.0	-1.05
Sam Mack	49	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	-2	-13	15.2	18.1	-2.96	14.9	16.1	-1.18

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Crotty	49	50	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	-2	21	14.0	17.1	-3.11	16.5	16.7	-0.20
Hersey Hawkins	66	70	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.05	19	-2	21	15.7	14.6	1.18	16.0	18.3	-2.32
Detlef Schrempf	74	76	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.10	16	1	15	15.2	16.5	-1.24	16.6	16.4	0.18
Gary Payton	81	82	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.07	14	3	11	15.8	12.0	3.78	15.8	23.1	-7.28
Dale Ellis	37	38	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	12	-7	14.9	15.8	-0.84	18.8	14.9	3.85
Olden Polynice	69	69	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	12	-7	16.2	12.8	3.40	16.4	17.0	-0.59
Vladimir Stepania	21	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	17	-17	15.0	15.6	-0.64	18.1	16.1	1.97
Aaron Williams	31	33	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.05	-1	18	-19	16.7	14.8	1.90	14.2	17.9	-3.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.6,0.48,0.44,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 86, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.93,0.99,1,1	94.1%
ORL 89, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.93,0.9,0.92,1,1,1	93.1%
ATL 94, OKC 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.1%