NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	107		Excitement	5.7 [404]		MVP	Matt Bullard (HOU): +11.6%
Sacramento Kings	93		Comeback	1.6 [297]		LVP	Tariq Abdul-Wahad (SAC): -18.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	87%	0.15	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	23	51%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Brent Price	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	7	35%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Anthony Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	14	44%	-0.01	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Michael Dickerson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	8	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	15	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	13	69%	0.12	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	20	50%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Michael Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	13	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	10	35%	-0.09	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.04	0.04	15	50%	-0.05	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	10	27%	-0.14	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	11	30%	-0.08	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	28.2	15.7	25.2	1.8	35.7	131.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +61.9%

HOU +6.8%

SAC -33.1%

HOU +14.2%

HOU +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	16.4	13.7	15.8	112.6	95.9	99.6
season	16.0	14.1		103.1	100.1
opponent	15.5	15.6		100.9	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	15.3	15.6	19.3	16.4
SAC	14.8	16.0	13.3	10.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	88	89	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.06	18	-4	22	16.2	18.0	-1.77	13.7	13.1	0.59
Cuttino Mobley	91	92	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.11	14	0	14	16.2	20.5	-4.32	13.3	20.8	-7.52
Hakeem Olajuwon	68	68	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.10	21	-7	28	14.7	20.6	-5.97	14.3	12.1	2.23
Othella Harrington	35	36	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	0	14	12.7	18.5	-5.86	15.1	12.8	2.25
Michael Dickerson	78	81	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	4	6	15.7	19.6	-3.93	13.5	14.4	-0.84
Matt Bullard	24	24	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	11	-8	19.9	15.2	4.76	14.2	13.5	0.66
Brent Price	42	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	12	-10	19.2	14.1	5.12	13.2	14.0	-0.81
Anthony Miller	1	3	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	16	-18	36.0	16.1	19.85	15.3	13.6	1.72
Charles Barkley	48	48	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.22	-10	24	-34	18.5	14.2	4.33	12.6	14.7	-2.11

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Hawkins	26	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-10	6	13.7	13.7	-0.02	18.3	15.7	2.57
Jon Barry	33	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-17	20	11.5	14.8	-3.27	20.6	14.1	6.46
Lawrence Funderburke	74	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-12	10	13.8	13.2	0.65	16.3	16.6	-0.27
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	49	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-9	4	14.0	13.3	0.75	14.3	18.6	-4.30
Corliss Williamson	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-4	-6	14.8	12.5	2.28	13.8	19.1	-5.38
Vernon Maxwell	48	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-5	-4	13.3	14.0	-0.75	18.6	14.3	4.30
Peja Stojakovic	55	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-2	-10	13.6	13.8	-0.16	18.3	13.9	4.40
Jason Williams	74	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	0	-14	13.5	14.1	-0.60	15.5	19.5	-4.06
Vlade Divac	77	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.11	-17	3	-20	13.9	12.7	1.22	15.2	21.0	-5.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 96, CLE 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
BKN 90, MIL 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.4%
WAS 114, ORL 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%