NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	90		Excitement	4.5 [563]		MVP	Hubert Davis (DAL): +13.1%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	1.2 [290]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -13.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.01	7	89%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0.03	13	52%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Jon Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	11	27%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	11	46%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	16	35%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	9	85%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	16	63%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	14	73%	0.15	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
A.C. Green	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	22	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	4	33%	-0.04	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	28.2	16.4	23.0	2.5	25.4	120.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +23.1%

DAL +7.0%

DAL +13.9%

DAL +2.3%

DAL +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	13.7	16.9	15.8	96.8	109.5	99.6
season	14.1	15.9		100.1	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.3	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.4	14.4	13.2	14.0	13.7
DAL	16.6	16.2	16.1	18.7	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	32	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-10	6	13.4	13.9	-0.51	16.6	17.0	-0.36
Vernon Maxwell	33	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-5	-4	13.3	14.0	-0.68	17.3	16.6	0.67
Jon Barry	33	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-5	-4	13.3	14.0	-0.68	17.3	16.6	0.67
Jason Williams	64	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-8	2	13.8	13.5	0.33	16.0	18.6	-2.59
Lawrence Funderburke	36	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-5	-4	15.0	12.9	2.10	17.4	16.5	0.84
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	61	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-9	4	14.0	13.2	0.80	17.0	16.5	0.53
Vlade Divac	78	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-7	0	13.3	16.0	-2.69	16.9	16.8	0.11
Corliss Williamson	60	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-4	-6	13.9	13.5	0.40	16.6	17.4	-0.85
Chris Webber	68	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-3	-8	13.7	13.9	-0.24	17.1	16.1	0.99

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	81	79	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.01	17	-3	20	17.0	15.9	1.10	13.9	12.6	1.29
Steve Nash	82	81	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.03	16	-2	18	17.0	16.1	0.91	13.9	12.6	1.33
Gary Trent	62	61	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.07	11	3	8	17.8	15.1	2.72	13.7	13.8	-0.11
Hubert Davis	81	80	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	6	2	16.5	19.1	-2.67	13.4	15.9	-2.54
Shawn Bradley	37	38	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	4	6	18.6	15.8	2.79	14.6	13.1	1.46
Erick Strickland	35	32	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	9	-4	16.2	17.2	-1.05	13.5	13.9	-0.42
A.C. Green	36	35	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	12	-10	16.2	17.3	-1.03	14.3	13.4	0.92
Hot Rod Williams	49	47	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	10	-6	16.0	17.8	-1.82	13.1	14.4	-1.24
Dirk Nowitzki	12	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	17	-20	14.9	17.1	-2.23	12.6	13.9	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.65,0.76,0.7,0.59,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 78, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.5%
DET 82, NJN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SAS 81, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%