NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	89		Excitement	10.6 [26]		MVP	Cedric Henderson (CLE): +10.0%
Chicago Bulls	85		Comeback	3.4 [267]		LVP	Brevin Knight (CLE): -77.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Henderson	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.03	0.03	17	63%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.02	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	90%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.04	0.02	16	66%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.00	15	46%	0.04	5	-0.19	7	43%	-0.11
Brevin Knight	-0.77	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.39,-0.71,-0.71,-0.71,-0.75,-0.77,-0.77	-0.20	-0.56	0.01	13	30%	-0.31	5	-0.46	4	75%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.11	-0.00	14	44%	0.14	1	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cory Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	6	44%	-0.11	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.07	-0.18	-0.00	12	39%	-0.21	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	-0.08	-0.31	0.00	8	50%	-0.24	3	-0.16	6	50%	-0.08
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.3,-0.39,-0.39,-0.46	-0.46	-0.12	-0.35	-0.00	12	36%	-0.26	3	-0.20	4	75%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.34,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.55,-0.5	-0.50	-0.17	-0.32	0.01	24	41%	-0.31	5	-0.19	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.0	2.5	27.4	15.5	25.4	2.4	32.4	1.5	18.1	154.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	1.7	18.8	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +99.4%

CHI -4.4%

CHI -28.8%

CHI -10.8%

CHI -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	16.8	15.4	15.8	91.8	84.2	99.6
season	16.3	16.7		97.3	90.6
opponent	15.4	16.2		101.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	17.0	13.2	19.0	19.8	14.1	16.8
CHI	15.0	13.9	14.5	18.1	17.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	78	80	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.35	11	-7	18	16.4	18.2	-1.81	15.1	16.4	-1.30
Andrew DeClercq	61	65	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-6	16	15.3	19.3	-4.02	15.2	15.8	-0.68
Cedric Henderson	69	73	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.40	2	2	0	17.1	16.0	1.06	14.6	17.4	-2.71
Shawn Kemp	78	81	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	-3	10	17.3	14.5	2.83	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Wesley Person	78	79	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	2	0	16.6	17.5	-0.90	15.4	15.5	-0.19
Corie Blount	26	26	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	0	4	15.8	17.1	-1.34	17.0	14.8	2.21
Bob Sura	26	29	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	4	-4	17.2	16.6	0.55	16.4	15.0	1.38
Derek Anderson	24	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	5	-6	16.2	16.9	-0.78	15.8	15.2	0.61
Johnny Newman	17	17	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	9	-14	17.9	16.5	1.44	16.6	15.1	1.50
Earl Boykins	5	5	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	7	-10	22.4	16.4	5.95	16.2	15.4	0.85
Danny Ferry	23	24	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.01	-7	11	-18	18.9	16.1	2.77	15.5	15.4	0.19

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Lang	12	11	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-6	8	15.8	15.3	0.50	16.5	16.8	-0.34
Corey Benjamin	11	12	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-5	6	14.5	15.5	-1.06	17.2	16.7	0.47
Cory Carr	30	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-3	2	15.5	15.3	0.20	16.1	17.0	-0.87
Kornel David	8	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	1	-6	8.7	16.0	-7.22	7.6	17.6	-9.95
Mark Bryant	47	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-8	12	16.3	14.6	1.69	17.8	15.8	2.00
Brent Barry	78	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-3	2	15.2	16.0	-0.73	17.0	15.9	1.07
Ron Harper	69	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.40	5	-9	14	16.1	13.9	2.18	17.8	14.7	3.11
Toni Kukoc	90	86	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-8	12	15.1	18.1	-3.02	17.0	14.8	2.18
Bill Wennington	7	8	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	4	-12	18.4	15.2	3.26	15.5	16.9	-1.37
Randy Brown	69	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	10	-24	14.7	16.8	-2.07	15.9	18.6	-2.72
Dickey Simpkins	84	81	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.41	-7	3	-10	15.8	13.6	2.17	16.8	16.7	0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.3,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.61,0.47,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 106, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.59,0.72,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.74,0.54,0.68,0.46,0.45,0.01,0	88.4%
LAL 88, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.55,0.63,0.32,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.32,0.27,0	87.8%
CLE 117, SAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.28,0.57,0.16,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.04,0,0	87.8%