NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	96		Excitement	3.7 [652]		MVP	Chuck Person (CHH): +10.2%
New Jersey Nets	82		Comeback	1.1 [330]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -14.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chuck Person	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	-0.00	-0.01	13	75%	0.16	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	5	86%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	13	55%	0.06	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.00
Bobby Phills	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	17	56%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Brad Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.09	0.02	-0.09	7	50%	0.07	5	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Shackleford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.18	-0.01	-0.06	15	31%	-0.09	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	10	65%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	6	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	17	47%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	6	14%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.02	0.01	26	44%	-0.09	3	-0.06	11	73%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	26.0	15.5	24.1	2.4	29.8	122.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +46.9%

NJN -1.5%

CHH +3.2%

CHH +2.3%

NJN -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NJN	NBA	CHH	NJN	NBA
this game	16.5	13.8	15.8	101.1	86.3	99.6
season	15.7	15.0		99.2	96.5
opponent	15.6	15.5		100.6	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.5	15.8	17.2	18.9	16.5
NJN	13.2	15.5	12.8	13.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Reid	84	84	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.03	19	-5	24	16.7	14.9	1.82	13.6	15.2	-1.56
David Wesley	77	78	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.08	22	-8	30	16.5	16.7	-0.19	13.5	15.0	-1.46
Bobby Phills	70	71	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.19	23	-9	32	16.6	16.4	0.16	12.8	16.8	-4.06
Derrick Coleman	81	80	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-1	16	16.5	16.6	-0.07	14.1	12.2	1.90
Chuck Person	71	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	7	0	16.6	16.2	0.41	13.5	14.8	-1.33
Brad Miller	8	8	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	9	-4	12.1	16.9	-4.79	12.9	13.9	-1.01
Ricky Davis	20	20	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	12	-10	14.8	17.0	-2.11	15.9	13.2	2.72
B.J. Armstrong	42	41	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.34	-11	25	-36	17.7	15.6	2.11	15.6	12.4	3.14
Charles Shackleford	22	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.22	-12	26	-38	16.3	16.6	-0.32	13.8	13.8	-0.04

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Evans	12	14	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-13	12	14.1	13.8	0.32	11.0	17.5	-6.47
Jim McIlvaine	49	50	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.37	13	-27	40	13.5	14.1	-0.56	18.6	14.2	4.32
Scott Burrell	56	57	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.26	9	-23	32	12.9	15.0	-2.08	16.6	16.3	0.29
Damon Jones	11	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-13	12	12.9	13.9	-1.01	17.9	16.3	1.63
Doug Overton	59	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.46	14	-28	42	13.4	14.5	-1.17	18.6	13.0	5.57
Eric Murdock	39	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-12	10	13.7	13.8	-0.10	17.3	16.0	1.25
Chris Gatling	39	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	1	-16	13.6	13.9	-0.27	14.8	17.6	-2.84
Jayson Williams	23	22	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.19	-19	5	-24	17.0	12.8	4.28	14.0	17.3	-3.33
Kerry Kittles	67	65	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.23	-25	11	-36	13.6	14.4	-0.84	16.5	16.6	-0.17
Kendall Gill	36	35	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.22	-25	11	-36	15.0	13.1	1.93	14.5	17.7	-3.21
Keith Van Horn	84	84	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.03	-18	4	-22	13.8	13.7	0.08	16.4	17.1	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 101, MIL 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
ORL 105, WAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
BOS 105, OKC 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%