inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 99 Excitement9.1 [72] MVPHorace Grant (ORL): +22.4%
Atlanta Hawks 94 Comeback8.1 [45] LVPSteven Smith (ATL): -18.1%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Horace Grant0.220,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22-0.020.22-0.021046%0.2200.00475%0.07
Nick Anderson0.080,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.080.080.020.011567%0.142-0.06367%-0.03
Derek Strong0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.002100%0.0600.002100%0.01
Matt Harpring0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Anfernee Hardaway0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.010.03-0.02-0.001258%0.071-0.06250%-0.06
Bo Outlaw-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.01850%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Michael Doleac-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00633%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.07-0.011547%-0.003-0.112100%0.03
Ike Austin-0.150,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.03-0.110.021258%-0.044-0.1200%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.040.100.002100%0.1400.0000%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.001560%0.073-0.0500%0.00
Mark West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Mookie Blaylock0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.01-0.01-0.020.020.011747%0.052-0.0700%0.00
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ed Gray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00437%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Roshown McLeod0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Grant Long0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.01-0.050.00557%-0.0500.00450%-0.07
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.070.01450%-0.081-0.03683%0.00
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.030.01835%-0.082-0.05425%-0.04
Steven Smith0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.07,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18-0.18-0.05-0.16-0.032353%0.175-0.35757%-0.14
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.22.425.215.826.01.636.41.613.3147.6
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.71.718.8163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +4.9%
ORL +37.1%
ATL -7.0%
ORL +25.2%
ATL -10.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLATLNBAORLATLNBA
this game16.418.615.8107.6104.499.6
season16.116.798.097.2
opponent16.315.694.995.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ORL15.315.517.019.214.316.4
ATL16.718.817.322.019.018.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Armstrong55550.69-0.190.870.1618-133116.815.81.0118.219.1-0.87
Nick Anderson73720.64-0.140.770.466-1716.615.61.0519.913.26.67
Bo Outlaw75730.59-0.090.670.5323-116.615.61.0118.220.3-2.14
Horace Grant65650.320.180.140.3205-515.817.9-2.0418.518.8-0.34
Michael Doleac32310.240.26-0.01-0.1413-82116.416.40.0418.118.8-0.70
Anfernee Hardaway74720.200.30-0.100.37-611-1715.719.3-3.6318.219.9-1.67
Derek Strong27250.180.32-0.140.0350517.915.82.0418.818.50.34
Matt Harpring10100.070.43-0.360.0123-114.916.6-1.7018.118.6-0.51
Ike Austin4947-0.420.92-1.340.02-1520-3516.716.10.6418.418.7-0.23

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaPhonso Ellis69710.08-0.580.67-0.065-101518.020.5-2.5717.213.73.50
Ed Gray1212-0.02-0.480.45-0.051-6720.318.32.0515.616.5-0.95
Mark West1010-0.07-0.430.360.02-3-2-118.718.50.1613.416.8-3.38
Roshown McLeod1010-0.07-0.430.36-0.01-2-3118.118.6-0.5114.916.6-1.70
Alan Henderson6263-0.10-0.400.29-0.255-101518.119.6-1.4716.416.5-0.10
Anthony Johnson109-0.11-0.390.280.04-50-519.918.41.5113.016.8-3.78
Mookie Blaylock8083-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.390-5518.419.9-1.5116.813.03.78
Dikembe Mutombo7071-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.29-4-1-319.017.01.9416.217.2-1.07
Grant Long3840-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.19-83-1118.518.6-0.1417.615.52.19
Steven Smith7578-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.32-4-1-318.120.9-2.8516.615.21.41
Tyrone Corbin1413-0.550.05-0.60-0.26-105-1522.917.85.0912.717.0-4.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.77,0.72,0.54,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 102, NYK 930.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.71,0.85,0.92,0.54,0.39,0.14,0.16,0.01,088.7%
LAL 109, SAS 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.96,0.91,0.73,0.54,0.38,0.22,0.1,0.04,088.4%
NYK 96, POR 950.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.3,0.33,0.85,0.46,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.16,087.5%