NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	88		Excitement	2.8 [742]		MVP	Eddie Jones (LAL): +5.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	1.1 [765]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -8.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Pack	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	71%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	75%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	1	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samaki Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	56%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Hot Rod Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Michael Finley	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	13	46%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	14	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	-0.06	8	25%	-0.04	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	10	29%	-0.07	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	14	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.01	15	67%	0.09	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.04	15	61%	0.10	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	6	64%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	37%	0.00	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	6	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	14	43%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.07	8	12%	-0.06	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	27.1	16.4	24.5	2.4	26.6	125.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.0%

LAL +14.1%

LAL +8.7%

DAL -4.8%

LAL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	14.3	14.7	15.8	88.9	102.0	99.6
season	15.9	14.9		99.7	104.7
opponent	15.8	15.6		102.0	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.1	15.2	13.1	12.3	14.3
LAL	14.2	13.6	14.1	17.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	29	29	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.25	9	-22	31	13.1	14.9	-1.80	17.2	13.7	3.53
Hubert Davis	34	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.36	12	-25	37	13.3	14.9	-1.60	15.8	14.2	1.56
Chris Anstey	25	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.29	8	-21	29	13.9	14.5	-0.57	15.7	14.5	1.24
Erick Strickland	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-9	5	14.7	14.3	0.40	14.4	14.8	-0.34
Samaki Walker	39	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-8	3	14.4	14.3	0.15	14.1	15.1	-1.00
A.C. Green	28	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-3	-7	14.6	14.2	0.42	15.1	14.6	0.55
Robert Pack	44	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-16	19	13.6	14.9	-1.35	15.0	14.5	0.46
Dirk Nowitzki	50	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-8	3	13.5	15.2	-1.74	16.0	13.4	2.66
Hot Rod Williams	21	22	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-3	-7	16.1	13.9	2.22	12.4	15.4	-3.06
Steve Nash	55	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.16	-16	3	-19	14.9	13.6	1.35	14.5	15.0	-0.46
Cedric Ceballos	57	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	1	-15	14.8	13.7	1.18	13.7	16.3	-2.65
Gary Trent	48	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-1	-11	14.6	14.1	0.55	14.1	15.4	-1.29
Michael Finley	58	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.22	-21	8	-29	14.9	13.5	1.38	14.2	15.5	-1.35

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	57	57	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.23	23	-10	33	13.8	16.0	-2.18	15.5	12.7	2.79
Derek Fisher	57	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	-2	17	14.3	15.3	-1.02	13.3	15.8	-2.45
Kobe Bryant	66	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.33	26	-13	39	14.6	15.0	-0.33	13.9	15.2	-1.25
Eddie Jones	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	6	1	14.0	16.4	-2.37	14.5	14.0	0.54
Travis Knight	45	43	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.31	23	-10	33	13.4	15.9	-2.51	14.6	14.1	0.50
Rick Fox	57	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	11	-9	15.5	13.8	1.67	15.0	13.5	1.55
Corie Blount	38	40	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	8	-3	14.5	14.9	-0.36	15.3	13.7	1.65
Derek Harper	42	41	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	15	-17	15.3	14.3	1.02	15.8	13.3	2.45
Elden Campbell	36	35	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.38	-11	24	-35	16.0	14.0	1.97	12.6	15.3	-2.70
Ruben Patterson	6	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	22	-31	17.5	14.6	2.93	10.7	14.6	-3.91
Sean Rooks	22	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.41	-14	27	-41	18.3	13.7	4.53	11.8	15.1	-3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 80, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
UTA 72, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
OKC 91, SAS 130	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%