NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	69		Excitement	7.5 [180]		MVP	Scott Burrell (NJN): +8.6%
New Jersey Nets	79		Comeback	1.9 [394]		LVP	Ed Gray (ATL): -33.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mark West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.02	3	62%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Alan Henderson	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	13	38%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14	-0.02	-0.13	-0.02	14	59%	0.03	3	-0.17	13	92%	0.05
Mookie Blaylock	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	10	29%	-0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.06	-0.15	-0.01	5	42%	-0.10	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.20	-0.06	-0.01	9	20%	-0.09	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Ed Gray	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.18,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.22,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.21	-0.13	-0.01	15	23%	-0.22	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	8	50%	-0.03
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	4	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	20	52%	0.07	7	-0.21	6	83%	0.04
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.21,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.28,-0.22,-0.22,-0.3,-0.3,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.18	-0.11	0.02	12	44%	-0.08	6	-0.23	10	90%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.3	28.3	15.0	28.1	1.8	36.0	139.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +53.5%

NJN +7.3%

ATL -8.0%

ATL -5.1%

NJN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	16.5	14.7	15.8	75.0	84.9	99.6
season	16.7	15.0		97.2	96.5
opponent	15.6	16.3		100.6	94.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.5	18.2	17.2	14.1	16.5
NJN	15.5	13.9	12.3	17.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	26	29	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.11	-2	-8	6	15.5	16.9	-1.33	15.8	14.2	1.60
Ed Gray	31	32	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-10	10	16.9	16.3	0.67	15.5	14.2	1.29
Tyrone Corbin	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-11	12	9.2	16.8	-7.57	15.5	14.6	0.88
Mark West	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-9	8	16.9	16.4	0.48	14.2	14.8	-0.60
Grant Long	51	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-15	20	15.3	18.0	-2.73	13.2	16.5	-3.32
Chris Crawford	23	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.13	-1	-9	8	14.1	17.3	-3.14	17.2	13.8	3.35
Alan Henderson	56	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-1	-8	17.4	15.1	2.31	16.3	12.1	4.15
LaPhonso Ellis	40	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	5	-20	18.7	14.8	3.91	13.7	15.4	-1.70
Dikembe Mutombo	71	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	-1	-8	16.4	16.9	-0.48	14.8	14.2	0.60
Mookie Blaylock	66	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.31	-8	-2	-6	16.9	15.5	1.33	14.2	15.8	-1.60
Steven Smith	71	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.30	-11	1	-12	16.4	16.9	-0.48	13.7	17.6	-3.84

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Burrell	58	57	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.17	24	-14	38	13.9	15.9	-1.97	17.0	15.7	1.34
Kendall Gill	69	67	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	0	10	15.2	13.2	2.01	16.6	16.1	0.51
Keith Van Horn	74	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	1	8	15.3	12.3	2.94	17.8	11.3	6.59
Chris Gatling	56	56	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	6	-2	14.9	14.2	0.73	16.0	17.2	-1.16
Jim McIlvaine	22	20	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	1	8	12.2	15.4	-3.18	16.8	16.4	0.46
Jayson Williams	78	78	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.19	2	8	-6	15.1	12.3	2.77	15.9	19.6	-3.72
Earl Boykins	31	32	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	5	0	14.0	15.0	-1.03	15.9	16.8	-0.94
Brian Evans	39	39	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.08	-4	14	-18	14.8	14.6	0.24	16.2	16.7	-0.58
Lucious Harris	38	38	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.06	-9	19	-28	14.2	15.0	-0.84	15.4	17.3	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.59,0.53,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 102, TOR 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.84,0.92,1	92.8%
NOP 107, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.52,0.63,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.82,0.72,0.66,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.71,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.72,0.96,0.98,1	92.0%
PHX 73, MIN 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.78,0.98,1	91.9%