NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	98		Excitement	5.1 [758]		MVP	Dale Davis (IND): +13.4%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	1.5 [1175]		LVP	John Wallace (TOR): -20.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dee Brown	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	60%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	16	62%	0.12	2	-0.07	7	57%	-0.03
Marcus Camby	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	12	61%	0.06	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.03
Alvin Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Garner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.06	4	86%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Tracy McGrady	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	5	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.03	7	12%	-0.10	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
John Wallace	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.07	0.03	12	53%	-0.01	6	-0.19	6	100%	0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.00	-0.01	13	71%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	11	73%	0.13	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	39%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Pope	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	12	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	13	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	27.3	15.5	23.3	1.5	25.6	118.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +19.8%

TOR -5.1%

IND +4.0%

IND +30.4%

IND +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	IND	NBA	TOR	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	15.6	104.3	112.6	102.5
season	15.5	16.0		98.7	105.3
opponent	16.1	14.8		99.2	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.6	14.3	15.7	15.9	15.1
IND	15.4	14.5	17.0	14.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alvin Williams	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	16.5	15.1	1.42	12.0	15.5	-3.48
Chris Garner	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-13	17	16.5	15.1	1.42	17.0	15.3	1.67
John Thomas	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	16.5	15.1	1.42	12.0	15.5	-3.48
Gary Trent	46	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-4	-1	15.0	15.2	-0.17	14.9	15.8	-0.87
Doug Christie	73	73	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-7	5	14.7	16.5	-1.76	15.6	14.5	1.19
Dee Brown	43	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.00	-9	0	-9	15.4	14.9	0.49	14.1	16.5	-2.34
Tracy McGrady	61	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-3	-3	14.6	16.1	-1.47	15.7	14.9	0.80
Reggie Slater	31	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	16.9	14.2	2.73	14.4	15.9	-1.50
Chauncey Billups	64	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-2	-5	15.4	14.5	0.84	15.7	14.6	1.07
John Wallace	73	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	0	-9	14.7	16.7	-2.01	16.0	13.5	2.49
Marcus Camby	73	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	15.2	15.0	0.20	15.7	14.3	1.35

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	61	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-2	13	16.1	14.1	2.04	16.0	13.4	2.53
Rik Smits	46	46	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	1	7	14.6	16.1	-1.47	15.7	14.5	1.15
Derrick McKey	54	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	3	3	14.5	16.5	-1.97	15.0	15.3	-0.33
Reggie Miller	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	5	-1	16.1	14.7	1.37	15.3	14.9	0.44
Jalen Rose	53	53	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	0	9	14.5	16.4	-1.90	15.0	15.2	-0.24
Travis Best	43	42	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	-1	11	14.4	16.2	-1.78	15.2	15.0	0.24
Mark Jackson	52	52	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.25	-1	10	-11	16.2	14.4	1.78	15.0	15.2	-0.24
Antonio Davis	65	64	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	7	-5	16.0	14.0	1.95	14.2	16.9	-2.68
Chris Mullin	50	49	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	9	-9	15.9	14.7	1.21	14.5	15.7	-1.20
Mark Pope	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	12.0	15.5	-3.48	16.5	15.1	1.42
Fred Hoiberg	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	12.0	15.5	-3.48	16.5	15.1	1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 105, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
ORL 89, CHA 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DEN 95, DAL 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.83,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%