NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	104		Excitement	3.1 [1119]		MVP	Glen Rice (CHH): +8.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	82		Comeback	2.3 [245]		LVP	Terrell Brandon (MIL): -15.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.01	0.05	17	71%	0.11	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
David Wesley	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	9	83%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	13	62%	0.07	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Bobby Phills	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donald Royal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.10	5	36%	-0.01	3	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02
Vlade Divac	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	7	39%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Dell Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	13	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	10	80%	0.10	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	11	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Litterial Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	5	33%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerald Honeycutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	14	43%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	8	40%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.20	-0.02	-0.09	16	27%	-0.11	1	-0.01	9	78%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.17	-0.01	-0.03	12	25%	-0.08	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	23.9	15.0	29.8	1.7	29.2	124.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +48.6%

MIL -7.7%

MIL -1.5%

CHH +9.3%

CHH +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	MIL	NBA	CHH	MIL	NBA
this game	13.8	15.9	15.6	108.3	83.7	102.5
season	15.7	16.0		104.0	101.1
opponent	15.1	15.9		102.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	12.6	13.3	15.8	13.8	13.8
MIL	15.2	17.8	14.2	16.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	72	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.33	28	-6	34	13.8	14.0	-0.19	16.5	13.6	2.86
Dell Curry	61	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.08	10	12	-2	14.3	12.9	1.41	15.1	17.2	-2.16
B.J. Armstrong	39	40	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.28	0	22	-22	14.4	13.4	0.92	14.4	16.9	-2.50
Glen Rice	62	66	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.27	19	3	16	13.5	14.3	-0.79	16.3	15.0	1.27
J.R. Reid	45	47	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.29	-1	23	-24	14.1	13.5	0.56	14.6	17.1	-2.51
Vlade Divac	66	65	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.34	20	2	18	13.7	14.1	-0.47	16.5	14.7	1.79
Donald Royal	34	32	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	19	-16	14.3	13.5	0.79	15.0	16.3	-1.27
David Wesley	57	58	0.21	0.28	-0.07	-0.43	22	0	22	13.4	14.4	-0.92	16.9	14.4	2.50
Bobby Phills	35	36	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.23	12	10	2	12.9	14.3	-1.41	17.2	15.1	2.16
Corey Beck	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	13.8	13.8	-0.04	12.5	16.2	-3.66

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Litterial Green	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-25	28	12.5	16.2	-3.66	13.8	13.8	-0.04
Andrew Lang	28	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.25	8	-30	38	12.6	17.1	-4.50	15.6	13.1	2.53
Michael Curry	55	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.19	-13	-9	-4	16.6	15.0	1.61	13.7	14.0	-0.30
Jamie Feick	34	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.18	-13	-9	-4	16.7	15.4	1.25	13.9	13.8	0.10
Elliot Perry	39	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.21	-16	-6	-10	16.6	15.4	1.17	14.1	13.6	0.44
Terrell Brandon	68	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-15	8	15.8	16.0	-0.21	13.9	13.6	0.37
Armen Gilliam	60	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.36	-23	1	-24	17.0	14.0	3.03	12.9	15.2	-2.33
Jerald Honeycutt	55	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	-7	-8	15.3	16.5	-1.17	13.9	13.7	0.26
Ervin Johnson	69	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	-6	-10	15.6	16.4	-0.79	13.7	14.1	-0.47
Ray Allen	74	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	-4	-14	15.9	15.8	0.03	13.7	14.1	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 104, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
PHI 117, CHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
CHI 151, MIL 135	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%