inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 101 Excitement8.6 [150] MVPJoe Dumars (DET): +17.9%
Chicago Bulls 106 Comeback8.8 [193] LVPMichael Jordan (CHI): -18.0%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Dumars0.180,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18-0.030.20-0.01835%0.1800.001100%0.01
Jerry Stackhouse-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0,00.07-0.060.011465%0.031-0.03667%-0.00
Steve Henson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Don Reid-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rick Mahorn-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Malik Sealy-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Jerome Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Grant Hill-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.07,-0.070.02-0.11-0.022461%0.204-0.271385%-0.03
Bison Dele-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.03-0.100.011771%0.136-0.21475%-0.02
Lindsey Hunter-0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.05-0.10-0.011141%-0.112-0.0400%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Scottie Pippen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,0.03,0.1,0.10.10-0.010.07-0.041567%0.206-0.1110100%0.05
Randy Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.080.000100%0.0900.002100%0.09
Ron Harper0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.040.00960%0.0800.002100%0.01
Dennis Rodman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.030.01287%0.061-0.02475%-0.06
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.02-0.01950%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jud Buechler00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Scott Burrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.050.00862%0.041-0.0600%0.00
Bill Wennington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Luc Longley0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01650%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.04-0.13-0.02650%-0.112-0.032100%0.03
Michael Jordan0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.08-0.11-0.012646%-0.074-0.114100%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.02.623.516.827.02.734.02.516.4149.5
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.01.618.4157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET -21.2%
CHI +28.1%
CHI +30.5%
CHI +18.0%
DET -5.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCHINBADETCHINBA
this game14.617.015.6100.0106.0102.5
season15.916.2102.8105.8
opponent15.815.997.9101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DET14.313.214.517.813.714.6
CHI14.515.116.822.219.717.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rick Mahorn1090.05-0.550.59-0.012-7910.315.1-4.7916.417.1-0.65
Steve Henson22-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-796.014.8-8.792.517.3-14.84
Jerome Williams2120-0.04-0.460.41-0.01-1-4311.515.4-3.9016.517.2-0.61
Don Reid2223-0.14-0.360.23-0.02-4-1-314.014.8-0.8413.518.1-4.57
Malik Sealy1312-0.21-0.290.080.05-94-1316.914.32.6515.617.2-1.66
Lindsey Hunter8888-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.414-91314.316.9-2.6517.215.61.66
Jerry Stackhouse8482-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.34-1-4314.415.5-1.0318.112.35.81
Grant Hill9493-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.33-4-1-314.713.11.5817.017.7-0.73
Bison Dele9191-0.550.05-0.59-0.34-72-915.110.34.7917.116.40.65
Joe Dumars5757-0.570.07-0.64-0.16-149-2316.412.24.1917.816.01.78

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Scott Burrell48490.58-0.080.650.348-31116.617.5-0.9215.813.52.34
Randy Brown780.490.010.480.4614-315.417.2-1.7320.214.16.12
Michael Jordan91910.390.110.290.2841316.819.8-3.0114.813.21.57
Scottie Pippen80820.340.160.190.2050517.315.81.4914.614.60.04
Dennis Rodman87870.290.210.080.35-27-917.414.52.9614.415.7-1.28
Luc Longley29290.210.29-0.08-0.038-31115.117.8-2.7815.814.21.61
Toni Kukoc50510.140.36-0.220.0532117.516.60.8814.115.2-1.08
Ron Harper44440.040.46-0.430.12-38-1115.818.0-2.2614.714.60.12
Bill Wennington11110.030.47-0.44-0.0014-316.817.1-0.2512.314.9-2.63
Steve Kerr5352-0.000.50-0.50-0.0005-518.815.03.8113.216.1-2.85
Jud Buechler01-0.000.50-0.50-0.0005-50.017.0-17.040.014.8-14.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.67,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.33,0.55,0.46,0.67,0.16,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.86,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 105, GSW 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.53,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.72,0.91,0.26,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.68,0.73,188.1%
CHI 83, UTA 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.33,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.95,0.97,188.1%
SAC 109, MIN 1150.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.57,0.47,0.59,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.28,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.97,0.96,187.6%