NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	114		Excitement	6.4 [493]		MVP	Robert Horry (LAL): +11.3%
Toronto Raptors	105		Comeback	1.5 [1164]		LVP	Doug Christie (TOR): -15.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	10	60%	0.11	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	83%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	0.03	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	10	57%	0.06	2	-0.03	15	53%	-0.05
Kobe Bryant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	13	63%	0.10	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	0.05	21	58%	0.04	4	-0.11	11	91%	0.03
Eddie Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	9	41%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	11	39%	-0.04	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	11	84%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	5	90%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	12	53%	-0.00	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.10	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	13	44%	-0.05	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	9	48%	-0.02	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Doug Christie	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.19	0.00	-0.03	16	43%	-0.09	5	-0.07	14	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.8	26.1	15.7	24.2	1.7	33.7	131.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.3%

LAL +6.5%

LAL +2.1%

LAL +4.1%

LAL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	TOR	NBA	LAL	TOR	NBA
this game	13.9	14.0	15.6	111.8	100.0	102.5
season	14.8	15.5		110.0	98.7
opponent	14.8	15.6		108.2	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.6	15.2	14.8	12.2	13.9
TOR	13.1	14.2	14.6	14.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	81	83	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-2	13	14.1	13.0	1.16	14.2	12.9	1.38
Rick Fox	91	93	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-1	11	13.3	18.3	-4.93	14.0	13.2	0.79
Shaquille O'Neal	79	82	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	3	3	14.0	13.3	0.68	14.6	11.8	2.78
Nick Van Exel	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	3	3	13.2	15.0	-1.84	13.6	14.6	-1.00
Kobe Bryant	51	53	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	2	5	14.7	13.1	1.59	14.2	13.7	0.59
Derek Fisher	38	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	6	-3	15.0	13.2	1.84	14.6	13.6	1.00
Eddie Jones	60	62	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.17	-2	11	-13	14.0	13.7	0.31	14.0	13.9	0.08
Elden Campbell	34	36	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	8	-7	13.5	14.1	-0.60	12.4	14.8	-2.38
Jon Barry	6	5	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	7	-5	9.5	14.1	-4.65	5.6	14.4	-8.77
Corie Blount	6	6	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	8	-7	15.3	13.8	1.55	13.7	14.0	-0.30

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Thomas	9	9	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-13	17	14.3	13.9	0.42	19.6	13.3	6.23
Gary Trent	43	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.16	3	-12	15	13.3	14.4	-1.06	14.0	13.8	0.25
Reggie Slater	35	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-4	-1	15.0	13.4	1.61	13.9	13.9	0.03
Chauncey Billups	74	72	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-9	9	13.2	15.7	-2.45	14.5	12.4	2.13
Oliver Miller	45	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-5	1	14.3	13.7	0.55	13.8	13.9	-0.10
Dee Brown	53	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-12	15	13.0	14.9	-1.85	14.5	13.3	1.20
Tracy McGrady	38	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	2	-13	14.1	13.9	0.20	13.6	14.0	-0.37
Doug Christie	83	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-5	1	14.1	13.5	0.63	14.4	12.0	2.36
Alvin Williams	31	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	0	-9	15.7	13.2	2.45	12.4	14.5	-2.13
Marcus Camby	66	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	4	-17	14.4	13.2	1.15	13.3	14.8	-1.47
John Wallace	48	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	0	-9	13.5	14.4	-0.91	12.1	15.4	-3.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 76, MIA 64	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.17,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
HOU 104, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0,0,0	94.7%
IND 109, BKN 97	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0,0,0,0	94.6%