NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	8.8 [124]		MVP	Maurice Taylor (LAC): +14.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	98		Comeback	1.8 [577]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -17.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.08	0.00	11	55%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	79%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Sam Mitchell	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	19	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tom Hammonds	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	55%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Stanley Roberts	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Porter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	0.01	18	45%	-0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.05,-0.12,-0.18	-0.02	-0.15	0.00	8	50%	-0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.04

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.10	0.00	7	78%	0.23	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.07
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	12	74%	0.13	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.00	12	64%	0.07	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
James Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	15	47%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	11	48%	0.01	4	-0.14	11	55%	-0.05
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	3	0%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	11	48%	-0.10	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.0	31.0	14.0	27.8	1.8	33.2	131.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -7.0%

LAC -12.6%

MIN +22.4%

MIN +41.7%

MIN +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	17.3	16.6	15.6	119.0	114.0	102.5
season	14.8	15.5		105.3	101.0
opponent	15.1	15.7		109.2	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.8	15.4	16.7	20.8	17.3
LAC	15.9	16.6	15.3	19.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	60	60	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	-4	10	16.6	19.0	-2.37	17.0	15.7	1.34
Anthony Peeler	56	55	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.55	1	1	0	17.2	17.3	-0.09	18.3	13.6	4.66
Tom Hammonds	50	53	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-2	6	18.7	15.1	3.60	17.3	15.6	1.71
Sam Mitchell	63	63	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.48	0	2	-2	17.9	15.5	2.38	16.2	17.9	-1.75
Terry Porter	47	49	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	-6	14	16.3	18.4	-2.09	16.2	17.2	-1.03
Stephon Marbury	65	68	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.27	-5	7	-12	18.0	14.9	3.06	15.6	20.6	-4.97
Cherokee Parks	31	34	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	1	0	15.8	18.1	-2.31	16.5	16.7	-0.21
Reggie Jordan	8	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	5	-8	15.9	17.4	-1.53	18.9	16.4	2.48
Stanley Roberts	40	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	4	-6	16.9	17.6	-0.64	15.5	17.6	-2.02

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamond Murray	55	54	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.03	7	-9	16	15.8	18.2	-2.40	16.2	19.2	-2.96
Ike Austin	66	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-7	12	16.6	16.6	0.04	17.1	18.1	-1.07
Pooh Richardson	27	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	2	-6	18.6	15.7	2.81	15.2	18.2	-3.05
Darrick Martin	72	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-6	10	16.4	17.9	-1.55	18.0	13.5	4.50
Lorenzen Wright	28	25	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	7	-16	17.2	16.3	0.92	17.9	17.0	0.94
James Robinson	73	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	2	-6	16.2	19.2	-3.07	17.3	16.8	0.49
Rodney Rogers	70	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	1	-4	16.1	18.9	-2.76	17.4	16.8	0.62
Maurice Taylor	39	38	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.45	-6	4	-10	18.3	15.2	3.07	18.5	16.3	2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.21,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 101, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.21,0.23,0.41,0	93.1%
POR 100, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.29,0.53,0.47,0.28,0.14,0.42,0	92.1%
POR 94, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.23,0.27,0	92.1%