NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Excitement	9.3 [87]		MVP	Derek Anderson (CLE): +16.8%
Sacramento Kings	85		Comeback	2.5 [432]		LVP	Bob Sura (CLE): -36.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17	0.04	0.11	-0.01	9	64%	0.17	0	0.00	10	80%	0.07
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.17,0.17	0.01	0.15	-0.01	7	75%	0.22	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	10	59%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Cedric Henderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.11,-0.15,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.14	0.05	-0.04	18	46%	0.11	6	-0.16	5	60%	-0.04
Wesley Person	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.13	0.01	-0.13	-0.00	14	53%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26	-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	5	12%	-0.27	1	0.01	6	33%	-0.05
Bob Sura	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.37,-0.37	-0.10	-0.27	-0.00	5	40%	-0.26	3	-0.11	5	40%	-0.22

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	12	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Otis Thorpe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	12	61%	0.11	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.07
Olden Polynice	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	13	62%	0.12	5	-0.13	8	87%	0.05
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Billy Owens	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	-0.00	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.35	-0.35	-0.17	-0.20	-0.03	18	32%	-0.26	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	25.8	14.7	24.3	1.8	47.2	138.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +40.7%

SAC -32.6%

CLE +75.6%

SAC -29.2%

SAC -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAC	NBA	CLE	SAC	NBA
this game	15.7	15.4	15.6	97.8	91.4	102.5
season	15.4	15.2		99.4	98.5
opponent	15.3	16.0		104.3	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.0	16.3	14.9	14.8	15.7
SAC	13.0	17.2	17.1	14.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	54	56	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.29	17	-12	29	13.7	18.6	-4.86	16.1	14.4	1.71
Derek Anderson	60	61	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.27	17	-12	29	14.7	17.7	-2.96	16.5	13.3	3.15
Vitaly Potapenko	43	45	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.34	13	-8	21	12.9	18.2	-5.38	16.0	14.8	1.19
Wesley Person	86	87	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.34	9	-4	13	15.8	15.2	0.60	15.3	16.8	-1.52
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	64	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	6	-7	16.3	14.3	2.02	14.8	16.6	-1.85
Shawnelle Scott	5	5	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	1	3	13.8	15.8	-2.04	15.0	15.4	-0.43
Shawn Kemp	72	74	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.02	-7	12	-19	17.0	11.0	5.98	15.7	14.1	1.64
Cedric Henderson	32	32	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.08	-12	17	-29	17.7	14.7	2.96	13.3	16.5	-3.15
Brevin Knight	44	44	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.04	-15	20	-35	18.1	13.5	4.57	14.5	16.2	-1.77

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	15	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-3	1	16.3	15.2	1.10	17.7	15.4	2.34
Olden Polynice	14	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-3	1	17.1	15.1	2.04	12.6	16.2	-3.63
Terry Dehere	16	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	0	-5	16.2	15.2	0.94	17.0	15.5	1.54
Billy Owens	74	75	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-6	7	15.2	16.3	-1.07	16.5	12.3	4.21
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	23	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	3	-11	17.3	14.8	2.52	13.0	16.5	-3.60
Corliss Williamson	82	82	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-10	15	15.3	16.0	-0.67	16.0	13.2	2.84
Mark Hendrickson	4	3	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-2	-1	14.2	15.5	-1.21	14.7	15.8	-1.10
Anthony Johnson	86	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-5	5	15.4	15.6	-0.18	16.1	10.0	6.13
Otis Thorpe	78	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-2	-1	15.2	16.3	-1.10	15.4	17.7	-2.34
Mitch Richmond	73	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	3	-11	14.7	18.0	-3.30	15.2	17.5	-2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.41,0	91.7%
MIN 112, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.53,0.63,0.45,0.27,0	91.2%
POR 90, SEA 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.34,0.27,0	91.1%