NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	108		Excitement	7.1 [362]		MVP	Brian Evans (NJN): +25.1%
Dallas Mavericks	93		Comeback	2.3 [502]		LVP	Shawn Bradley (DAL): -24.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Evans	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.13	0.00	9	80%	0.25	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lucious Harris	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.09	0.13	-0.00	7	79%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.08	0.01	9	86%	0.23	3	-0.07	10	80%	-0.00
Michael Cage	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.03	17	54%	0.01	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.04
David Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	8	44%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Sherman Douglas	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.03	-0.12	0.03	14	52%	-0.10	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.01	8	58%	0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	13	69%	0.12	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Eric Riley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bubba Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	4	44%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.02	-0.05	16	49%	0.05	4	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	11	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Martin Muursepp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.00	10	31%	-0.12	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.06	-0.18	0.01	12	50%	-0.13	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	23.4	15.7	26.4	2.4	29.5	122.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +37.0%

NJN +15.9%

DAL -28.4%

NJN +25.1%

NJN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DAL	NBA	NJN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.2	15.6	113.7	100.0	102.5
season	15.6	15.8		104.9	98.3
opponent	15.5	15.2		104.6	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.3	17.7	15.4	17.3	15.5
DAL	14.4	15.7	14.0	17.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	71	68	0.63	-0.12	0.75	0.04	20	-5	25	14.8	17.3	-2.52	14.7	16.6	-1.88
Brian Evans	45	44	0.60	-0.09	0.68	0.10	17	-2	19	14.1	16.7	-2.63	15.6	14.8	0.73
Michael Cage	66	65	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	1	13	16.7	12.6	4.08	15.5	14.5	0.93
Sherman Douglas	22	20	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.25	6	9	-3	15.3	15.5	-0.17	17.0	14.7	2.32
Chris Gatling	63	62	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	1	13	14.7	16.9	-2.14	14.7	16.1	-1.42
Sam Cassell	73	73	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.18	9	6	3	15.5	15.3	0.17	14.7	17.0	-2.32
Don MacLean	4	4	0.01	0.50	-0.49	0.01	0	15	-15	12.7	15.6	-2.82	15.0	15.2	-0.19
David Vaughn	36	33	-0.01	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	19	-23	14.4	16.1	-1.76	13.6	16.0	-2.40
Kendall Gill	71	71	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	-0.16	4	11	-7	16.5	12.3	4.23	15.8	13.1	2.74
Lucious Harris	24	25	-0.12	0.63	-0.75	0.03	-5	20	-25	17.3	14.8	2.52	16.6	14.7	1.88

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hubert Davis	52	54	0.05	-0.56	0.61	-0.01	2	-17	19	15.3	15.0	0.37	15.3	15.7	-0.41
Eric Riley	5	6	-0.02	-0.49	0.47	-0.02	0	-15	15	15.2	15.2	0.02	11.5	15.7	-4.22
Chris Anstey	38	38	-0.11	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-11	7	14.8	15.5	-0.67	13.8	16.5	-2.73
Michael Finley	62	63	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.15	-9	-6	-3	14.3	17.0	-2.77	15.3	15.7	-0.40
A.C. Green	48	49	-0.13	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	-7	-1	14.6	15.8	-1.28	14.7	16.2	-1.48
Martin Muursepp	46	47	-0.27	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-10	5	14.2	16.1	-1.87	15.4	15.5	-0.18
Shawn Bradley	50	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-5	-5	15.1	15.3	-0.14	16.6	14.1	2.58
Cedric Ceballos	51	54	-0.50	-0.01	-0.49	-0.09	-14	-1	-13	15.8	14.4	1.38	16.0	14.7	1.35
Bubba Wells	46	47	-0.55	0.04	-0.59	-0.25	-10	-5	-5	16.9	13.5	3.47	16.3	14.6	1.71
Khalid Reeves	67	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.07	-17	2	-19	15.6	14.1	1.48	15.6	15.1	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.39,0.07,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 105, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.2,0.04,0.03,0.09,0	92.8%
MIL 94, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.17,0.25,0.04,0.02,0,0	92.6%
NOH 91, MEM 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.19,0.08,0,0,0	92.5%