NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	97		Excitement	6.4 [478]		MVP	Cedric Ceballos (DAL): +27.5%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	9999.0 [1]		LVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): -17.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bill Wennington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	12	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	18	49%	0.02	3	-0.06	9	78%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08	-0.13	-0.06	-0.10	25	36%	-0.08	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Jordan	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	24	44%	-0.16	1	-0.02	11	45%	-0.06

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	-0.10	0.37	0.00	21	52%	0.40	6	-0.13	6	33%	-0.07
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.06	-0.04	29	50%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.05	-0.04	6	50%	0.08	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	11	46%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	9	56%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	0.06	6	73%	-0.03	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	22.5	16.4	25.6	2.4	37.6	1.6	12.3	144.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +87.6%

CHI -13.1%

CHI -19.5%

CHI -6.7%

DAL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DAL	NBA	CHI	DAL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.1	15.6	91.5	98.1	102.5
season	16.2	15.8		105.8	98.3
opponent	15.5	15.8		104.6	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	14.8	17.6	15.2	15.7	16.9	15.9
DAL	14.6	15.1	14.2	13.1	13.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Harper	52	51	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.01	10	-17	27	16.8	15.1	1.71	15.3	13.0	2.22
Scott Burrell	28	29	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.09	2	-9	11	16.4	15.7	0.67	14.9	13.8	1.14
Bill Wennington	16	16	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-9	11	19.3	15.3	4.02	15.3	13.9	1.42
Dickey Simpkins	17	16	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.21	-5	-2	-3	13.6	16.3	-2.68	13.9	14.1	-0.20
Dennis Rodman	70	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-7	7	15.6	16.5	-0.91	14.6	13.2	1.33
Jud Buechler	26	26	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	4	-15	15.1	16.1	-1.03	12.6	14.6	-2.02
Toni Kukoc	77	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.50	3	-10	13	16.1	15.4	0.71	14.2	13.7	0.48
Michael Jordan	94	93	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.34	-11	4	-15	15.9	15.6	0.35	14.0	15.2	-1.20
Scottie Pippen	83	83	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.32	-12	5	-17	14.7	20.2	-5.46	13.3	16.9	-3.53

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Ceballos	95	95	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.29	13	-6	19	13.9	16.2	-2.32	16.0	15.3	0.70
Chris Anstey	44	45	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.15	18	-11	29	13.3	14.7	-1.38	14.1	17.2	-3.14
A.C. Green	86	86	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-9	25	13.5	16.9	-3.45	15.3	18.5	-3.27
Michael Finley	102	102	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.31	6	1	5	14.1	14.7	-0.67	15.5	26.2	-10.76
Hubert Davis	66	66	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	2	3	14.5	13.5	1.01	15.9	15.9	0.03
Shawn Bradley	22	20	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	10	-13	15.6	13.7	1.93	16.7	15.7	0.99
Khalid Reeves	45	47	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.11	-6	13	-19	14.5	13.8	0.71	17.9	14.3	3.51
Erick Strickland	60	59	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.17	-21	28	-49	14.9	13.0	1.91	16.7	14.8	1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.54,0.69,0.69,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 105, CHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0,0.01,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.91,1	91.2%
LAC 95, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.03,0,0,0.54,0.69,0.94,0.99,0.99,1	90.5%
POR 106, DEN 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.46,0.69,0.74,0.91,0.59,1	90.2%