NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	74		Excitement	2.3 [1216]		MVP	Dan Majerle (MIA): +6.0%
Miami Heat	97		Comeback	1.4 [990]		LVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): -8.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawnelle Scott	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	61%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Brooks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	14	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	16	47%	-0.03	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Bob Sura	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	55%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	83%	0.05	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	72%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	3	117%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marty Conlon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	10	50%	-0.02	2	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Duane Causwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	7	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	14	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	30.0	15.5	23.3	1.7	23.0	119.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +24.7%

MIA +7.8%

MIA +4.7%

MIA +10.7%

MIA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIA	NBA	CLE	MIA	NBA
this game	16.3	15.6	15.6	82.2	106.6	102.5
season	15.4	15.8		99.4	104.7
opponent	16.2	16.0		99.8	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.6	17.2	14.5	16.8	16.3
MIA	14.0	16.3	16.1	15.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawnelle Scott	20	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-28	33	16.8	16.1	0.75	15.6	15.5	0.11
Scott Brooks	28	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-28	33	15.2	16.7	-1.53	14.3	16.1	-1.83
Brevin Knight	34	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.27	-13	-10	-3	16.8	15.9	0.89	15.5	15.6	-0.05
Carl Thomas	36	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-14	5	16.7	16.0	0.76	15.1	15.9	-0.81
Vitaly Potapenko	47	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.21	-14	-9	-5	15.4	17.3	-1.89	16.9	14.1	2.74
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	44	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-19	15	17.2	15.4	1.75	14.3	16.7	-2.41
Bob Sura	13	13	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	-12	1	18.8	15.8	2.93	17.1	15.3	1.77
Wesley Person	53	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-7	-9	15.5	17.3	-1.80	15.4	15.8	-0.42
Cedric Henderson	53	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.27	-22	-1	-21	16.6	15.8	0.87	15.5	15.7	-0.19
Derek Anderson	64	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-11	-1	16.0	16.9	-0.87	15.8	14.9	0.90
Shawn Kemp	58	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.30	-24	1	-25	16.1	16.6	-0.51	16.0	14.9	1.05

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway	51	49	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.32	26	-3	29	15.8	15.3	0.51	16.3	16.2	0.18
P.J. Brown	56	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.32	24	-1	25	15.7	15.3	0.49	16.2	16.4	-0.25
Alonzo Mourning	39	39	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.34	23	0	23	15.7	15.4	0.28	17.0	15.7	1.25
Dan Majerle	49	49	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.34	23	0	23	15.7	15.4	0.38	15.9	16.7	-0.76
Brent Barry	45	43	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	16	-9	14.7	16.4	-1.68	16.8	15.7	1.09
Voshon Lenard	41	42	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.32	19	4	15	15.6	15.5	0.09	15.3	17.1	-1.75
Eric Murdock	45	44	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	18	-13	15.4	15.7	-0.27	16.0	16.6	-0.61
Mark Strickland	42	41	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	23	-23	15.4	15.7	-0.38	16.7	15.9	0.76
Duane Causwell	50	50	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	26	-29	15.9	15.2	0.71	16.0	16.6	-0.55
Marty Conlon	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	31	-39	15.0	15.8	-0.80	16.6	16.2	0.43
Rex Walters	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	24	-25	16.3	15.4	0.93	16.8	16.2	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 75, SAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
DEN 67, PHX 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
LAL 73, PHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%