NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	86		Excitement	7.1 [365]		MVP	Chris Webber (WAS): +14.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	88		Comeback	1.3 [524]		LVP	Calbert Cheaney (WAS): -32.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	26	60%	0.25	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
God Shammgod	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ledell Eackles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Harvey Grant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.08	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	11	56%	0.08	5	-0.19	10	80%	0.01
Tracy Murray	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	8	25%	-0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.32	-0.11	-0.23	-0.02	14	35%	-0.28	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	21	63%	0.19	4	-0.12	9	100%	0.05
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	0.01	9	56%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.06	-0.02	11	64%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.12
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Kebu Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	14	43%	-0.08	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	6	0%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.4	31.2	14.8	24.5	1.0	33.1	133.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +23.4%

WAS -2.3%

PHI +11.6%

PHI +13.2%

PHI +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.1	15.5	15.6	88.7	89.8	102.5
season	15.1	15.4		102.8	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.6		102.1	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.7	11.9	12.1	16.3	14.1
PHI	14.7	13.8	16.7	17.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rod Strickland	62	66	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.31	13	-15	28	14.0	14.1	-0.14	16.4	13.6	2.85
Darvin Ham	7	8	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-7	12	8.9	14.5	-5.60	10.1	16.0	-5.83
Harvey Grant	40	42	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	0	-2	13.5	14.5	-0.98	16.7	14.6	2.08
Terry Davis	28	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	5	-12	16.2	13.2	3.04	17.9	14.5	3.38
Ledell Eackles	59	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.41	9	-11	20	13.0	15.7	-2.64	14.3	17.3	-3.04
Ben Wallace	50	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-2	2	14.0	14.1	-0.15	13.8	17.1	-3.27
God Shammgod	12	11	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	5	-12	12.1	14.3	-2.25	11.3	16.0	-4.74
Calbert Cheaney	75	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-4	6	14.4	12.8	1.65	16.7	11.7	5.05
Chris Whitney	23	21	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	6	-14	15.2	13.7	1.53	14.8	15.7	-0.91
Chris Webber	94	95	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.41	-4	2	-6	14.4	2.7	11.75	15.7	8.0	7.72
Tracy Murray	35	36	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.37	-11	9	-20	14.1	14.0	0.05	14.4	16.1	-1.72

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	72	71	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.50	7	-5	12	16.1	13.7	2.43	14.6	12.7	1.91
Aaron McKie	80	79	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	-2	6	16.2	12.3	3.92	14.7	11.2	3.47
Theo Ratliff	88	88	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	15.9	12.0	3.88	14.4	10.3	4.10
Allen Iverson	77	80	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	-7	16	15.9	14.0	1.94	14.3	12.8	1.49
Tim Thomas	28	27	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	-11	24	15.4	15.5	-0.12	16.3	13.2	3.11
Eric Snow	30	27	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.39	-4	6	-10	14.5	15.9	-1.36	14.1	14.0	0.03
Brian Shaw	63	65	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.32	-5	7	-12	14.6	17.0	-2.41	13.3	15.6	-2.25
Anthony Parker	5	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	4	-6	10.0	15.8	-5.77	6.6	14.5	-7.86
Kebu Stewart	29	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	5	-8	12.0	16.9	-4.94	11.7	15.0	-3.25
Mark Davis	18	16	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.10	-11	13	-24	17.8	14.9	2.88	10.7	14.7	-4.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.68,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 108, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.72,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.85,0.96,0.97,1,1	92.7%
ATL 77, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.68,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.1%
CLE 92, SAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.52,0.47,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.99,1,1	92.0%