NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	97		Excitement	8.7 [139]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +9.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	98		Comeback	1.5 [710]		LVP	Sam Cassell (NJN): -51.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.01	0.00	13	75%	0.20	2	-0.10	6	50%	-0.04
Kendall Gill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.00	11	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Gatling	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jayson Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Cage	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	22	44%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Sherman Douglas	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16	-0.03	-0.13	0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.51	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.51	-0.11	-0.41	-0.01	11	55%	-0.30	6	-0.21	7	86%	-0.18

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.09	0.01	16	57%	0.12	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.02
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.14,0.14,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	67%	0.12	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Stacey Augmon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	80%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	14	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Vincent Askew	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.1	-0.10	0.02	-0.13	-0.01	16	64%	0.12	4	-0.22	4	75%	0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.07	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	30.0	15.6	25.2	2.4	49.3	151.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.5%

POR +3.7%

POR +3.8%

POR +3.2%

POR +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	POR	NBA	NJN	POR	NBA
this game	15.6	15.9	15.6	105.4	107.7	102.5
season	15.6	15.9		104.9	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.2		100.6	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.7	15.7	18.2	12.0	15.6
POR	14.0	14.9	16.9	18.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	66	66	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-15	29	16.1	14.2	1.91	16.4	14.7	1.70
Michael Cage	28	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-4	7	15.2	15.7	-0.56	13.6	16.8	-3.22
Chris Gatling	27	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	1	-3	15.6	15.5	0.09	13.9	16.8	-2.91
Lucious Harris	19	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	7	-15	15.5	15.6	-0.05	15.0	16.1	-1.11
Kerry Kittles	65	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.44	9	-10	19	15.4	16.0	-0.62	16.2	15.2	1.06
Sherman Douglas	57	56	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.48	8	-9	17	15.0	16.5	-1.44	16.1	15.7	0.41
Keith Van Horn	72	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-4	7	15.8	14.8	0.91	16.9	12.8	4.10
David Benoit	23	23	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	11	-23	14.3	16.0	-1.68	15.0	16.2	-1.16
Jayson Williams	57	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	5	-11	15.5	15.7	-0.24	16.8	14.4	2.40
Sam Cassell	62	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	2	-5	14.9	17.0	-2.08	16.2	15.3	0.90

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alvin Williams	62	65	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.54	9	-8	17	15.9	16.0	-0.13	15.3	16.1	-0.77
Vincent Askew	65	65	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	-6	13	16.5	14.5	1.98	16.2	14.1	2.01
Gary Trent	37	39	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.23	7	-6	13	14.2	17.1	-2.95	15.3	15.8	-0.54
Kelvin Cato	7	7	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	0	1	16.3	15.9	0.40	12.0	15.9	-3.86
Rasheed Wallace	76	78	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.43	-3	4	-7	16.1	15.2	0.85	15.3	17.1	-1.86
Arvydas Sabonis	69	68	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	0	1	16.2	14.9	1.32	15.7	15.3	0.37
Isaiah Rider	51	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	3	-5	15.1	17.0	-1.90	15.6	15.5	0.14
Rick Brunson	1	2	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	1	-1	1.0	16.1	-15.08	4.5	15.8	-11.31
Kenny Anderson	66	64	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	5	-9	16.5	14.4	2.14	16.2	14.2	1.99
Jermaine O'Neal	15	14	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	8	-15	16.4	15.8	0.58	17.4	15.2	2.11
Stacey Augmon	7	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	5	-9	14.6	16.0	-1.45	11.7	15.9	-4.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.55,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	92.2%
CHA 97, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.65,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.9,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.87,0.68,0.64,0.9,0.98,1	92.2%
NOP 80, WAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.53,0.46,0.86,0.92,1	91.9%