NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	120		Excitement	1.8 [1253]		MVP	Sam Cassell (NJN): +8.4%
Denver Nuggets	87		Comeback	1.1 [1151]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (DEN): -9.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	12	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.18	0.00	0.12	7	112%	0.06	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Sherman Douglas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	9	84%	0.06	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
David Benoit	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.02	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Cage	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jack Haley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.00	2	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	8	47%	0.01	3	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	7	55%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	14	47%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kiwane Garris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harold Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	72%	-0.00	3	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	54%	-0.03	0	0.00	14	79%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	10	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Eric Washington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	14	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.19	-0.00	-0.09	14	27%	-0.06	4	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.6	27.0	15.8	23.2	2.5	27.3	121.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +42.2%

NJN +0.7%

NJN +3.7%

NJN +2.8%

NJN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DEN	NBA	NJN	DEN	NBA
this game	13.9	17.4	15.6	130.4	94.6	102.5
season	15.6	16.2		104.9	96.7
opponent	15.2	15.2		109.5	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.0	16.3	13.0	14.4	13.9
DEN	19.3	17.1	21.2	12.8	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	54	53	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.44	30	3	27	13.5	14.6	-1.10	19.5	14.4	5.09
Kerry Kittles	45	45	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.62	36	-3	39	13.8	14.1	-0.35	18.7	16.1	2.63
Jayson Williams	47	46	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.44	29	4	25	14.3	13.6	0.70	19.6	15.2	4.43
Kendall Gill	46	47	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.35	22	11	11	13.6	14.3	-0.65	19.7	15.0	4.68
Sam Cassell	33	33	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.49	26	7	19	14.0	13.9	0.05	19.9	16.0	3.91
David Benoit	51	51	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.18	14	19	-5	14.5	13.3	1.20	14.9	20.4	-5.45
Sherman Douglas	52	52	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	26	-19	13.7	14.2	-0.56	15.8	19.3	-3.50
Michael Cage	31	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	30	-27	12.9	14.5	-1.60	15.3	18.4	-3.11
Lucious Harris	45	45	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.14	-2	35	-37	13.9	14.0	-0.13	16.4	18.3	-1.94
Chris Gatling	32	33	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	32	-31	16.4	12.6	3.74	15.7	18.3	-2.61
Jack Haley	24	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	34	-35	12.8	14.3	-1.49	13.0	18.8	-5.77

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kiwane Garris	28	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-34	35	12.3	19.6	-7.26	14.3	13.8	0.56
Harold Ellis	32	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-33	33	13.6	19.4	-5.79	14.6	13.6	1.00
Joe Wolf	39	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-32	31	14.7	19.3	-4.65	14.8	13.2	1.57
Danny Fortson	55	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-26	19	15.5	20.1	-4.54	14.1	13.6	0.49
Eric Washington	27	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.49	-26	-7	-19	19.5	16.5	2.99	13.5	14.1	-0.66
Anthony Goldwire	74	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.09	-14	-19	5	16.3	21.6	-5.27	13.9	14.1	-0.15
Johnny Newman	40	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.43	-27	-6	-21	20.7	14.8	5.98	12.5	15.1	-2.52
Dean Garrett	53	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.54	-32	-1	-31	19.3	14.7	4.65	13.2	14.8	-1.57
Bobby Jackson	59	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.39	-27	-6	-21	19.7	13.3	6.39	14.0	13.9	0.09
LaPhonso Ellis	53	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.47	-32	-1	-31	19.5	14.5	4.96	14.5	13.2	1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 118, BKN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
CLE 101, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
PHX 108, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%