NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	100		Excitement	4.9 [814]		MVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): +21.5%
Washington Wizards	87		Comeback	1.9 [269]		LVP	Chris Webber (WAS): -15.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.07	-0.02	17	71%	0.26	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Rasheed Wallace	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	14	71%	0.11	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Gary Trent	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	75%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vincent Askew	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	10	43%	0.00	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	14	31%	-0.08	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.01	-0.07	16	50%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	-0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	14	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.05
Ledell Eackles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	10	37%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	15	44%	0.03	6	-0.17	4	75%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.06	0.05	18	54%	-0.04	5	-0.11	1	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.3	22.6	15.3	25.5	2.5	29.2	119.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +19.8%

POR +24.0%

WAS -2.4%

POR +11.4%

WAS -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	WAS	NBA	POR	WAS	NBA
this game	16.7	14.9	15.6	108.7	96.7	102.5
season	15.9	15.1		101.9	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.2	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.6	16.0	18.6	17.0	16.7
WAS	15.7	14.0	15.0	15.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vincent Askew	40	41	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	-1	15	16.5	16.9	-0.36	15.0	14.8	0.18
Alvin Williams	58	56	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	5	3	16.1	17.8	-1.64	14.2	16.1	-1.96
Isaiah Rider	82	79	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	7	-1	16.8	16.0	0.82	14.9	14.6	0.30
Arvydas Sabonis	53	51	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	4	5	16.9	16.4	0.51	16.3	13.0	3.31
Kelvin Cato	32	33	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	1	11	16.5	16.9	-0.40	13.8	15.5	-1.66
Rasheed Wallace	81	78	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	9	-5	16.8	16.3	0.52	15.2	12.7	2.48
Kenny Anderson	53	54	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	3	7	17.2	16.0	1.22	15.5	13.9	1.59
Gary Trent	58	56	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	11	-9	16.8	16.6	0.22	13.9	16.5	-2.62
Rick Brunson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	15.3	16.8	-1.44	10.5	15.0	-4.50

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	20	20	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.09	4	-17	21	15.9	14.6	1.29	14.9	17.2	-2.34
Ben Wallace	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	9.2	15.2	-5.91	16.2	16.7	-0.50
Tracy Murray	41	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.12	-2	-11	9	15.4	14.5	0.90	15.1	18.3	-3.21
Ledell Eackles	14	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-9	5	11.7	15.5	-3.77	18.5	16.4	2.09
Terry Davis	50	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-5	-3	16.4	13.0	3.42	17.0	16.4	0.54
Rod Strickland	73	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-4	-5	14.8	15.4	-0.56	17.1	15.2	1.87
Chris Whitney	19	19	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-4	-5	15.6	14.7	0.93	15.6	17.0	-1.45
Calbert Cheaney	70	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	2	-17	14.6	16.1	-1.54	17.2	15.2	2.07
Chris Webber	82	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-3	-7	14.3	20.7	-6.42	16.8	16.4	0.37
Juwan Howard	77	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	2	-17	15.1	13.7	1.41	17.2	14.2	3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 93, PHX 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.54,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.22,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.0%
UTA 102, LAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.21,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
DEN 117, MIL 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.22,0.36,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.3%