NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	108		Excitement	6.0 [568]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +16.4%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	1.5 [715]		LVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): -9.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.18	0.03	0.04	18	74%	0.19	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Jayson Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	11	72%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Sherman Douglas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	9	73%	0.16	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.05
Keith Van Horn	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.08	-0.02	19	43%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	45%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Michael Cage	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	14	51%	0.00	4	-0.10	7	57%	-0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	6	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Shawn Respert	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	64%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	17	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	16	58%	0.05	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Oliver Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	4	75%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Lloyd Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	12	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	46%	-0.07	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.04
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	10	62%	0.06	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	26.0	15.4	27.4	2.5	26.6	122.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +32.7%

NJN +18.2%

TOR -14.2%

NJN +12.6%

NJN +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	16.0	14.9	15.6	116.1	107.5	102.5
season	15.6	15.5		104.9	98.7
opponent	14.8	15.2		108.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.3	19.1	15.8	16.3	16.0
TOR	16.2	13.0	14.9	15.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	67	67	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.21	16	-8	24	15.9	16.2	-0.29	15.7	13.0	2.70
Kerry Kittles	79	77	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.27	11	-3	14	16.7	12.4	4.31	15.2	13.5	1.75
Sherman Douglas	85	86	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-4	16	15.2	24.7	-9.55	15.4	8.9	6.58
Jayson Williams	76	77	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.14	14	-6	20	15.6	17.7	-2.06	15.1	14.4	0.69
Kendall Gill	74	75	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	1	6	15.6	17.5	-1.83	14.5	16.9	-2.41
Lucious Harris	35	36	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.13	-6	14	-20	16.6	15.7	0.93	14.1	15.5	-1.41
Michael Cage	21	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	13	-18	17.2	15.7	1.57	14.9	14.9	0.00
David Benoit	28	28	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.11	-9	17	-26	17.2	15.5	1.76	12.8	15.9	-3.04

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Respert	0	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-8	8	0.0	14.9	-14.95	0.0	16.2	-16.20
John Wallace	48	47	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-10	12	13.7	16.2	-2.52	16.6	15.5	1.07
Tracy McGrady	31	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-11	14	13.8	15.5	-1.66	16.5	15.8	0.65
Reggie Slater	29	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-7	6	15.0	14.9	0.08	14.4	16.7	-2.33
Lloyd Daniels	59	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.34	4	-12	16	14.1	16.4	-2.26	16.9	14.5	2.46
Zan Tabak	26	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	1	-10	16.9	14.2	2.69	15.2	16.4	-1.18
Marcus Camby	59	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.14	-9	1	-10	15.4	14.1	1.26	15.9	16.3	-0.38
Doug Christie	71	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-1	-6	15.1	14.5	0.52	16.8	13.5	3.24
Oliver Miller	58	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	3	-14	15.4	14.1	1.29	16.2	15.6	0.60
Damon Stoudamire	84	84	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.20	-12	4	-16	15.2	12.1	3.14	15.2	23.6	-8.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 106, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.2,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.04,0	94.1%
BOS 94, CHA 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%
WAS 92, NOP 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.01,0,0	93.9%