NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	132		Excitement	2.5 [1188]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +11.5%
Denver Nuggets	99		Comeback	1.0 [1157]		LVP	Tony Battie (DEN): -6.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	0.01	10	82%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.05	9	75%	0.09	3	-0.00	10	70%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	8	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Antoine Carr	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	8	79%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
John Stockton	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	0.00	0.10	5	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	48%	-0.02	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	3	29%	0.00	4	-0.03	1	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	4	70%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	54%	-0.02	3	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harold Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	30%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Joe Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kiwane Garris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	9	78%	0.06	4	-0.06	9	89%	0.02
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	13	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	5	58%	-0.03	0	0.00	16	81%	-0.02
Eric Washington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	13	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Priest Lauderdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Tony Battie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	0.03	10	45%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.6	30.4	18.4	30.3	2.6	29.2	140.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +29.6%

UTA +9.7%

UTA +7.7%

UTA +1.8%

UTA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	14.6	14.4	15.6	133.3	100.0	102.5
season	15.9	16.2		108.1	96.7
opponent	15.2	15.9		109.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.1	15.3	14.5	13.7	14.6
DEN	16.2	14.7	13.2	14.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	58	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.38	29	4	25	14.3	15.1	-0.81	15.0	13.7	1.34
Jeff Hornacek	60	61	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.44	30	3	27	14.4	15.0	-0.54	14.3	14.7	-0.47
Antoine Carr	44	43	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.39	27	6	21	15.1	14.3	0.88	15.2	13.8	1.39
Howard Eisley	37	37	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.34	21	12	9	15.3	14.3	1.00	13.9	14.8	-0.93
John Stockton	38	38	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	21	-9	15.5	14.1	1.34	15.9	13.5	2.40
Adam Keefe	53	54	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.32	19	14	5	14.6	14.7	-0.05	13.9	15.0	-1.10
Bryon Russell	42	39	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.14	13	20	-7	16.1	13.6	2.56	14.4	14.5	-0.06
Greg Ostertag	46	48	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	31	-29	14.3	15.0	-0.68	14.1	14.8	-0.66
Shandon Anderson	35	35	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	29	-25	14.2	14.9	-0.65	15.2	14.0	1.12
Greg Foster	41	41	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	29	-25	15.1	14.3	0.81	13.7	15.0	-1.34
Chris Morris	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	29	-25	12.4	15.1	-2.70	14.2	14.5	-0.25
Jacque Vaughn	24	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	33	-33	12.4	15.4	-3.00	13.0	14.9	-1.91

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harold Ellis	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.29	-10	-23	13	12.4	14.8	-2.39	13.1	14.9	-1.81
Joe Wolf	15	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.17	-6	-27	21	10.9	15.1	-4.22	11.9	15.1	-3.17
Kiwane Garris	23	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.27	-10	-23	13	13.3	14.8	-1.54	13.2	15.1	-1.88
Priest Lauderdale	16	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	-25	17	15.9	14.2	1.71	13.2	14.9	-1.70
Tony Battie	56	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	-24	15	14.5	14.4	0.09	15.9	12.9	3.06
Johnny Newman	48	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.28	-17	-16	-1	13.5	15.3	-1.83	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Anthony Goldwire	43	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.39	-22	-11	-11	13.4	15.3	-1.90	14.1	15.1	-0.92
Bobby Jackson	63	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-22	11	14.7	14.1	0.61	15.0	13.9	1.10
Dean Garrett	58	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.13	-15	-18	3	15.0	13.7	1.30	15.5	13.3	2.18
Danny Fortson	50	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.37	-25	-8	-17	15.0	13.9	1.04	13.3	16.0	-2.76
Eric Washington	53	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.33	-27	-6	-21	15.3	13.4	1.93	14.2	15.2	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	97.2%
SEA 114, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
PHX 114, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%