NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	90		Excitement	9.5 [71]		MVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): +6.0%
Sacramento Kings	92		Comeback	2.1 [578]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -37.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Cummings	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	53%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jim Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	76%	0.05	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.04
Doug Overton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.09	0.00	6	46%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	11	42%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.15	0.00	-0.15	0.00	2	50%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.28,-0.28	-0.11	-0.17	-0.00	15	39%	-0.15	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Derrick Coleman	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.26,-0.29,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.24	-0.09	-0.04	16	31%	-0.17	3	-0.11	13	62%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	-0.37	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.32,-0.29,-0.29,-0.24,-0.37	-0.21	-0.17	-0.02	14	39%	-0.25	4	-0.13	16	81%	0.09

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	20	66%	0.28	6	-0.23	4	100%	0.03
Corliss Williamson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	16	57%	0.13	4	-0.12	8	87%	0.05
Mark Hendrickson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	10	46%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	9	55%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Salvadori	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.27	-0.27	-0.09	-0.18	-0.00	0	0%	-0.19	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.19

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	23.5	15.6	29.0	2.0	39.1	138.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +118.3%

PHI -38.3%

PHI -4.3%

PHI -28.4%

SAC +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAC	NBA	PHI	SAC	NBA
this game	15.3	14.3	15.6	91.8	94.8	102.5
season	15.4	15.2		99.7	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.5		104.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.1	15.5	13.6	16.0	15.3
SAC	12.2	14.5	14.1	16.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	43	44	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.04	7	-9	16	13.8	16.4	-2.61	15.1	13.6	1.53
Doug Overton	16	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-3	4	14.8	15.3	-0.53	17.1	13.7	3.33
Terry Cummings	31	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	1	-4	14.3	15.7	-1.41	14.7	14.1	0.59
Mark Davis	27	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	1	-4	13.7	15.9	-2.19	15.1	14.0	1.14
Clar. Weatherspoon	54	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.29	3	-5	8	14.4	16.3	-1.97	15.5	12.7	2.84
Derrick Coleman	66	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	3	-8	16.0	13.7	2.23	13.1	16.5	-3.38
Theo Ratliff	46	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-3	4	15.9	14.7	1.20	14.2	14.4	-0.23
Tim Thomas	52	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.38	-4	2	-6	15.9	14.5	1.42	13.6	15.1	-1.50
Allen Iverson	81	81	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.43	-3	1	-4	15.3	14.8	0.52	13.7	17.1	-3.33
Jim Jackson	74	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.49	-4	2	-6	16.2	12.3	3.92	14.0	15.2	-1.24

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Billy Owens	77	77	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.53	5	-3	8	13.9	15.6	-1.66	16.3	11.4	4.87
Mitch Richmond	71	73	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.41	7	-5	12	14.2	14.5	-0.30	15.1	15.7	-0.62
Olden Polynice	72	72	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	-5	12	14.6	13.3	1.35	14.8	16.6	-1.80
Corliss Williamson	81	83	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	-5	12	13.5	18.1	-4.61	15.2	15.5	-0.33
Anthony Johnson	70	71	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	-1	4	14.0	15.1	-1.10	14.9	16.1	-1.13
Mark Hendrickson	27	27	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.34	-3	5	-8	15.9	13.7	2.18	12.7	16.2	-3.52
Bobby Hurley	27	27	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.26	-1	3	-4	15.1	14.0	1.10	16.1	14.9	1.13
Michael Stewart	30	31	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.24	-6	8	-14	14.5	14.2	0.37	16.5	14.7	1.75
Kevin Salvadori	4	4	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	6	-10	17.5	14.1	3.36	12.7	15.4	-2.61
Terry Dehere	26	25	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	7	-12	14.5	14.2	0.30	15.7	15.1	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.86,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 93, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.71,0.92,1	92.2%
IND 98, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.84,1	92.0%
UTA 91, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.78,0.91,1	92.0%