NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	110		Excitement	2.2 [1223]		MVP	Tracy Murray (WAS): +6.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	79		Comeback	1.1 [631]		LVP	Ray Allen (MIL): -9.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.00	0.04	8	87%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	67%	0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ledell Eackles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Whitney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	15	60%	0.03	2	-0.01	12	75%	-0.01
Harvey Grant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	14	61%	0.04	6	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	13	66%	0.02	5	-0.06	9	78%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerald Honeycutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	40%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	58%	-0.00	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Tony Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	11	42%	-0.00	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	22%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	2	25%	-0.04	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	0.04	23	46%	-0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.18	-0.00	-0.09	11	33%	-0.03	6	-0.06	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	26.4	14.7	27.2	2.4	25.4	120.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +34.7%

WAS +7.0%

MIL -0.7%

WAS +8.0%

WAS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIL	NBA	WAS	MIL	NBA
this game	13.5	16.2	15.6	113.4	81.4	102.5
season	15.1	16.0		102.8	101.1
opponent	15.1	15.6		102.8	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.5	12.7	12.9	13.8	13.5
MIL	16.1	17.3	16.6	15.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	72	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.18	22	9	13	13.2	14.2	-1.06	17.0	14.2	2.74
Juwan Howard	82	82	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.20	20	11	9	13.7	12.3	1.40	16.6	14.3	2.25
Rod Strickland	78	78	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.26	22	9	13	13.3	14.2	-0.88	16.5	15.1	1.47
Calbert Cheaney	68	69	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.23	20	11	9	13.4	13.6	-0.24	16.9	14.5	2.39
Darvin Ham	45	46	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.33	23	8	15	12.6	14.2	-1.51	16.1	16.4	-0.24
Tracy Murray	54	53	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.15	11	20	-9	14.3	12.4	1.90	15.8	16.7	-0.90
Ledell Eackles	32	32	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.09	8	23	-15	13.6	13.4	0.16	14.4	17.1	-2.73
Chris Whitney	26	26	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.29	14	17	-3	13.4	13.5	-0.09	15.5	16.5	-1.06
Harvey Grant	9	9	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	25	-19	14.3	13.4	0.97	13.1	16.6	-3.45
Ben Wallace	19	19	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.24	9	22	-13	13.5	13.4	0.09	15.4	16.4	-1.08

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamie Feick	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-28	25	12.0	16.5	-4.52	15.7	13.3	2.36
Jerald Honeycutt	11	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.15	-7	-24	17	15.7	16.3	-0.58	12.2	13.6	-1.40
Andrew Lang	25	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.12	-7	-24	17	15.7	16.4	-0.70	12.1	13.9	-1.82
Ricky Pierce	15	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.23	-12	-19	7	17.5	16.0	1.53	12.4	13.6	-1.20
Michael Curry	37	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.16	-10	-21	11	15.1	17.0	-1.91	13.4	13.5	-0.10
Ervin Johnson	49	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-24	17	16.0	16.5	-0.52	13.6	13.3	0.32
Tony Smith	56	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	-21	11	15.6	17.1	-1.57	13.9	12.8	1.09
Armen Gilliam	21	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.25	-15	-16	1	16.0	16.3	-0.24	14.2	13.2	0.94
Elliot Perry	44	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.38	-24	-7	-17	16.5	16.0	0.52	12.6	14.2	-1.59
Ray Allen	76	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	-15	-1	16.3	16.0	0.36	13.5	13.4	0.07
Glenn Robinson	81	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.26	-23	-8	-15	16.7	13.7	3.05	13.9	10.9	2.95
Tyrone Hill	64	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.17	-21	-10	-11	17.2	14.3	2.89	13.5	13.4	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 118, BKN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
MIA 82, CHI 49	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
MIA 105, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%