NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	96		Excitement	6.9 [400]		MVP	Bison Dele (DET): +11.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	31.1 [46]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -39.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bison Dele	0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0.11	-0.03	0.14	0.00	13	59%	0.20	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.05
Lindsey Hunter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	11	65%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Malik Sealy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Don Reid	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	4	73%	0.05	2	-0.10	3	67%	-0.03
Eric Montross	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Grant Hill	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	11	61%	0.00	3	-0.12	14	79%	-0.04
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.05	7	-0.18	11	91%	0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	13	69%	0.11	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	70%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	70%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	6	27%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.03
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.10	-0.02	15	51%	-0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.39	-0.39	-0.28	-0.19	-0.07	17	17%	-0.37	2	-0.03	7	43%	-0.21

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.5	30.3	15.5	30.5	2.6	42.0	152.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +63.6%

DET +16.6%

DET +5.2%

PHI -34.6%

PHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	13.4	17.1	15.6	101.1	97.9	102.5
season	15.9	15.4		102.8	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.9		102.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.6	14.8	15.5	10.2	13.4
PHI	16.4	19.5	14.5	18.2	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	30	27	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-11	26	9.7	15.1	-5.46	18.9	16.4	2.57
Grant Hill	84	84	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-3	10	14.0	8.9	5.08	17.5	13.8	3.69
Lindsey Hunter	89	87	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	-1	6	13.3	14.3	-1.00	16.4	25.3	-8.85
Jerry Stackhouse	71	70	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.28	8	-4	12	11.9	17.8	-5.93	17.3	16.6	0.63
Bison Dele	71	69	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.53	-1	5	-6	14.1	11.2	2.93	16.9	17.7	-0.80
Joe Dumars	47	46	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.32	-2	6	-8	15.1	11.8	3.29	15.0	19.1	-4.15
Don Reid	11	13	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	3	-2	13.2	13.4	-0.25	14.0	17.6	-3.59
Eric Montross	29	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	3	-2	17.7	11.5	6.17	17.5	16.9	0.58
Malik Sealy	13	14	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.02	-6	10	-16	12.8	13.5	-0.64	20.6	16.5	4.08
Jerome Williams	30	32	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.01	-8	12	-20	11.0	14.5	-3.46	18.8	16.2	2.65

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Cummings	15	13	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-6	8	21.1	16.3	4.80	15.5	13.1	2.39
Theo Ratliff	42	41	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.14	-2	-2	0	18.1	16.3	1.76	12.2	14.3	-2.16
Mark Davis	20	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-6	8	16.1	17.4	-1.20	11.2	13.9	-2.74
Aaron McKie	42	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	1	-6	18.5	15.9	2.58	12.2	14.3	-2.13
Tim Thomas	54	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-1	-2	16.2	18.3	-2.14	14.5	11.8	2.68
Clar. Weatherspoon	47	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-4	4	16.8	17.4	-0.66	15.0	11.7	3.32
Jim Jackson	86	87	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.38	-5	1	-6	17.2	16.0	1.20	13.4	13.4	0.03
Allen Iverson	91	92	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	1	-6	16.6	32.7	-16.08	13.4	14.3	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 127, BKN 125	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.71,0.42,0	92.4%
NJN 102, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.75,0.64,0.57,0.42,0	92.3%
PHI 96, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.54,0.77,0.72,0	92.2%