NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	104		Excitement	4.1 [948]		MVP	Derek Anderson (CLE): +6.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	77		Comeback	3.1 [218]		LVP	Brevin Knight (CLE): -15.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.01	-0.06	4	70%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Buck Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	59%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Childs	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	8	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.00	1	0.01	4	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	75%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
John Starks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	13	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	12	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.01	0.07	14	67%	0.02	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	-0.06	9	64%	0.09	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	60%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Shawnelle Scott	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	9	47%	0.00	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	14	53%	0.03	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	9	38%	-0.06	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	8	25%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	27.2	15.7	27.5	1.8	28.5	127.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +36.3%

NYK +3.6%

CLE -7.3%

NYK +18.6%

CLE -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.6	111.8	81.9	102.5
season	15.7	15.4		100.4	99.4
opponent	16.0	16.3		97.0	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.8	13.7	14.8	17.5	15.7
CLE	12.6	16.3	15.8	16.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	56	55	0.74	-0.24	0.97	-0.09	28	-1	29	14.7	17.1	-2.35	15.7	14.3	1.42
Charlie Ward	47	46	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.10	25	2	23	13.0	18.4	-5.48	16.1	14.2	1.86
Patrick Ewing	64	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.22	23	4	19	14.6	17.9	-3.29	15.5	14.3	1.23
Larry Johnson	62	61	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.23	22	5	17	14.8	17.5	-2.68	15.2	15.1	0.07
Charles Oakley	52	53	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	23	-19	15.8	15.5	0.32	14.3	16.2	-1.96
Buck Williams	22	22	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.23	15	12	3	18.1	14.9	3.23	14.4	15.4	-1.01
Chris Mills	52	54	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.22	11	16	-5	16.7	14.3	2.37	15.5	14.7	0.76
John Starks	50	52	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.35	14	13	1	15.9	15.3	0.59	15.4	14.9	0.51
Chris Childs	46	48	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.19	2	25	-23	18.4	13.0	5.48	14.2	16.1	-1.86
Chris Dudley	14	15	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.04	-9	36	-45	18.8	15.1	3.67	13.4	15.5	-2.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	34	31	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.04	2	-29	31	13.6	16.0	-2.43	17.3	14.9	2.44
Scott Brooks	21	19	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-28	29	14.1	15.4	-1.34	18.5	14.9	3.53
Danny Ferry	28	28	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-30	33	16.1	14.7	1.38	15.3	15.8	-0.49
Shawnelle Scott	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-26	25	12.4	15.4	-3.02	19.6	15.3	4.22
Henry James	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-29	31	12.1	16.0	-3.92	14.9	15.9	-1.05
Derek Anderson	53	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.31	-13	-14	1	15.6	14.6	0.98	16.4	14.8	1.56
Cedric Henderson	60	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.41	-25	-2	-23	15.9	13.7	2.24	15.9	15.3	0.61
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	57	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.29	-26	-1	-25	15.3	14.9	0.45	15.6	15.8	-0.23
Brevin Knight	61	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.02	-17	-10	-7	14.9	15.6	-0.67	14.8	17.5	-2.68
Shawn Kemp	60	62	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.26	-29	2	-31	16.0	13.6	2.43	14.9	17.3	-2.44
Wesley Person	67	67	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	0.26	-32	5	-37	15.3	14.6	0.71	15.0	17.3	-2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 118, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
WAS 96, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
NJN 98, ORL 82	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%