NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	108		Excitement	7.4 [304]		MVP	Matt Bullard (HOU): +19.4%
Dallas Mavericks	106		Comeback	2.0 [837]		LVP	Dennis Scott (DAL): -15.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.04	0.14	-0.02	8	62%	0.20	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.02	12	56%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Kevin Willis	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	63%	0.07	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Matt Maloney	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.04	-0.04	-0.00	9	67%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Emanual Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	13	51%	-0.00	2	-0.07	11	64%	-0.02
Rodrick Rhodes	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.08	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Clyde Drexler	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	17	41%	-0.09	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.00	9	73%	0.20	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martin Muursepp	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.04	0.04	19	70%	0.14	4	-0.13	12	92%	0.08
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bubba Wells	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	20	38%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.09	0.03	15	54%	0.01	3	-0.16	5	100%	0.03
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	11	41%	-0.01	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.5	32.3	16.6	27.2	2.4	38.5	143.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +1.0%

DAL -0.3%

HOU +19.9%

HOU +20.9%

HOU +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	16.4	13.6	15.6	112.5	110.4	102.5
season	15.7	15.8		104.5	98.3
opponent	15.5	15.2		104.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.2	15.9	16.7	16.5	16.4
DAL	13.8	13.5	16.0	11.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Johnson	64	62	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	-6	14	15.7	17.7	-2.09	12.3	16.1	-3.74
Charles Barkley	81	82	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.48	-1	3	-4	16.7	14.4	2.32	13.7	13.6	0.09
Rodrick Rhodes	41	41	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	-6	14	18.5	14.8	3.72	13.3	13.9	-0.53
Emanual Davis	39	39	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	-6	14	18.7	14.8	3.89	13.6	13.7	-0.14
Matt Bullard	35	37	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	-3	8	18.5	15.1	3.40	12.0	14.7	-2.63
Kevin Willis	56	55	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	-5	12	16.6	15.9	0.69	15.6	11.0	4.62
Matt Maloney	57	57	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.29	-6	8	-14	14.8	18.7	-3.89	13.7	13.6	0.14
Clyde Drexler	53	53	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.29	-8	10	-18	15.3	17.6	-2.31	14.5	12.5	2.01
Mario Elie	54	54	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.19	-11	13	-24	14.3	19.0	-4.62	13.6	13.7	-0.12

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khalid Reeves	56	55	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.12	10	-12	22	14.1	13.0	1.11	17.8	14.4	3.43
A.C. Green	18	18	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-6	10	14.2	13.5	0.71	18.3	15.9	2.44
Bubba Wells	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-2	2	1.0	13.8	-12.78	4.0	16.5	-12.48
Kevin Ollie	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-2	2	0.0	13.8	-13.79	2.0	16.5	-14.51
Chris Anstey	6	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	1	-4	12.7	13.7	-1.04	9.6	16.7	-7.13
Martin Muursepp	37	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.25	5	-7	12	12.2	14.6	-2.37	14.7	17.4	-2.68
Erick Strickland	83	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-3	4	13.2	16.3	-3.08	16.2	17.4	-1.21
Samaki Walker	32	31	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	8	-18	14.6	13.2	1.37	19.1	15.0	4.05
Michael Finley	95	95	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	0	-2	13.7	5.0	8.74	16.0	51.0	-35.01
Dennis Scott	84	84	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.46	-5	3	-8	14.3	8.8	5.50	16.3	16.6	-0.26
Hubert Davis	67	68	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.35	-10	8	-18	13.5	14.0	-0.56	15.9	17.4	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.15,0.07,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 77, ATL 70	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.02,0	93.1%
GSW 95, HOU 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.3,0.35,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.27,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.02,0	92.9%
IND 106, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.04,0	92.9%