NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	100		Excitement	4.9 [811]		MVP	Blue Edwards (VAN): +9.8%
Denver Nuggets	87		Comeback	2.1 [232]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (DEN): -12.7%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blue Edwards	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.00	0.06	15	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.02	-0.08	15	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01
Lee Mayberry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	125%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.04	0.00	4	69%	0.05	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.01
Bryant Reeves	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	8	46%	-0.07	1	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Antonio Daniels	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	9	27%	-0.07	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Sam Mack	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	57%	0.01	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.04
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	14	47%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Wolf	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	10	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	13	61%	0.00	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	6	33%	-0.08	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	14	55%	-0.03	4	-0.09	5	60%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.8	27.1	15.4	26.3	1.8	28.2	127.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +47.3%

DEN -7.3%

DEN -7.8%

VAN +13.0%

VAN +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	DEN	NBA	VAN	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	16.6	15.6	111.1	97.8	102.5
season	15.1	16.2		101.3	96.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		109.5	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	17.7	13.1	14.1	17.5	15.6
DEN	16.6	17.5	18.0	14.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	44	44	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.02	23	-10	33	15.4	15.7	-0.29	17.1	16.2	0.87
Blue Edwards	50	48	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.03	20	-7	27	16.0	15.0	0.91	17.6	15.5	2.16
Pete Chilcutt	39	37	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.03	17	-4	21	14.8	16.1	-1.30	19.1	14.9	4.15
Lee Mayberry	33	31	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	2	9	17.3	14.5	2.76	18.0	15.9	2.05
Bryant Reeves	59	59	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.06	9	4	5	14.8	17.0	-2.15	18.0	13.9	4.07
Antonio Daniels	57	58	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	11	-9	14.5	17.3	-2.76	15.9	18.0	-2.05
Otis Thorpe	60	59	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	15	-17	16.1	14.4	1.73	15.4	19.0	-3.63
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	68	68	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	21	-29	16.2	13.5	2.66	14.9	22.2	-7.34
Sam Mack	40	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	20	-27	15.0	16.0	-0.91	15.5	17.6	-2.16

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Wolf	20	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-13	13	18.8	16.0	2.80	13.7	16.1	-2.46
Eric Washington	18	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.16	2	-15	17	13.3	17.5	-4.13	16.3	15.4	0.97
Danny Fortson	44	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-8	3	16.5	16.8	-0.35	16.4	14.7	1.73
Bobby Jackson	67	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-11	9	16.3	17.8	-1.52	15.7	15.0	0.72
Priest Lauderdale	25	23	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-7	1	15.7	17.0	-1.26	16.0	15.4	0.54
Dean Garrett	64	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-6	-1	17.0	15.7	1.26	15.4	16.0	-0.54
Bryant Stith	61	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-5	-3	16.7	16.5	0.19	15.2	16.4	-1.27
Anthony Goldwire	22	21	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-2	-9	17.8	16.3	1.52	15.0	15.7	-0.72
Johnny Newman	60	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-1	-11	16.0	17.9	-1.88	16.6	13.6	3.04
LaPhonso Ellis	64	66	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.13	-16	3	-19	17.5	14.4	3.16	14.8	17.7	-2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 103, DET 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.34,0.24,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
BOS 110, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.2,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
MIA 100, MIL 83	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.5%