inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 96 Excitement9.6 [67] MVPBison Dele (DET): +17.5%
Vancouver Grizzlies 104 Comeback4.1 [154] LVPGrant Hill (DET): -52.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bison Dele0.170,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17-0.020.18-0.021354%0.253-0.0800%0.00
Malik Sealy0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.080.090.001269%0.201-0.025100%0.06
Aaron McKie0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.020.00767%0.0700.004100%0.08
Lindsey Hunter0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.050.110.012643%0.151-0.092100%0.01
Jerome Williams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Dumars-0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00450%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Grant Long-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Don Reid-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02150%-0.012-0.022100%0.01
Theo Ratliff-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.03355%0.044-0.13540%-0.01
Grant Hill-0.520,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.27,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.47,-0.47,-0.52,-0.52,-0.52,-0.52-0.17-0.350.002132%-0.453-0.072100%0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryant Reeves0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.070.090.011367%0.181-0.03757%-0.03
George Lynch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.030.001170%0.181-0.071100%0.01
Blue Edwards0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01784%0.154-0.135100%0.04
Anthony Peeler0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00-0.02642%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tony Massenburg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04250%0.012-0.0100%0.00
Pete Chilcutt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Sam Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Otis Thorpe0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.01-0.001054%0.053-0.09475%0.04
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.01631%-0.061-0.0310%-0.02
Lee Mayberry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.140.02-0.01325%0.055-0.172100%0.10
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.29,-0.29,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.27-0.08-0.19-0.001452%-0.173-0.101471%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.12.028.115.527.22.538.42.522.2161.4
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.01.618.4157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
VAN +24.2%
VAN +13.2%
VAN +26.1%
DET -16.7%
VAN +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETVANNBADETVANNBA
this game16.014.715.694.199.0102.5
season15.915.1102.8101.3
opponent15.315.9109.1101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DET15.013.817.319.414.616.0
VAN16.311.916.214.915.414.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Sealy7879-0.07-0.430.36-0.308-162415.617.5-1.8715.113.71.36
Aaron McKie5555-0.08-0.420.35-0.05-1-7616.215.90.2913.316.3-3.07
Joe Dumars2020-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-4015.816.1-0.2216.514.32.21
Don Reid2019-0.13-0.370.25-0.04-3-5215.616.1-0.5312.415.2-2.80
Grant Long88-0.14-0.360.210.12-91-1017.415.91.4615.714.61.12
Theo Ratliff5960-0.20-0.300.10-0.293-111416.515.41.1015.613.61.99
Jerome Williams44-0.22-0.280.05-0.02-7-1-615.016.1-1.0710.714.9-4.12
Bison Dele7981-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.07-6-2-416.414.81.6114.814.30.49
Grant Hill9095-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.20-4-4016.413.23.1515.111.43.66
Lindsey Hunter8893-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.23-91-1015.519.1-3.6114.417.3-2.96

Vancouver Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim88840.81-0.311.110.3416-82414.814.20.6416.613.53.07
Otis Thorpe75760.61-0.110.730.0320-123214.714.70.0717.611.56.08
Blue Edwards60570.410.090.320.3235-213.915.8-1.8216.615.31.36
George Lynch53520.250.25-0.010.1635-213.016.5-3.4615.716.4-0.65
Antonio Daniels48470.120.38-0.26-0.0353215.314.21.0315.316.6-1.28
Anthony Peeler39390.100.40-0.30-0.0862416.813.53.3516.215.90.24
Bryant Reeves78730.040.46-0.430.09-210-1215.612.33.2515.317.8-2.46
Sam Mack66-0.010.51-0.520.02-19-108.815.1-6.249.316.4-7.11
Pete Chilcutt79-0.040.54-0.590.02-210-1212.914.8-1.9911.716.5-4.78
Lee Mayberry4646-0.120.62-0.740.03-513-1814.015.3-1.3117.015.21.81
Tony Massenburg1412-0.160.66-0.810.17-1119-3016.714.42.3111.316.7-5.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.66,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.6,0.62,0.72,0.57,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.89,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 101, ORL 1130.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.72,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.72,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.84,0.99,190.0%
PHI 95, NOH 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.99,188.8%
MIA 104, TOR 1120.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.9,0.99,188.8%