NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	91		Excitement	8.8 [121]		MVP	Hersey Hawkins (SEA): +6.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	83		Comeback	2.0 [464]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -37.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.03	-0.00	9	67%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Detlef Schrempf	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.24,-0.16,-0.26,-0.2,-0.08	-0.13	0.04	-0.02	13	43%	0.17	5	-0.25	4	75%	0.06
Jerome Kersey	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	7	31%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.35,-0.35,-0.32	-0.14	-0.16	0.01	17	39%	-0.24	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.02
Vin Baker	-0.38	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.29,-0.38,-0.38	-0.12	-0.24	0.01	13	50%	-0.16	5	-0.21	8	62%	-0.12

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vincent Askew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	54%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	14	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Higgins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.02	-0.19	-0.00	8	85%	0.15	7	-0.35	4	100%	0.04
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.1,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.14	-0.03	10	56%	0.14	6	-0.36	5	20%	-0.10
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.11	-0.00	9	20%	-0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.19	-0.05	-0.00	12	37%	-0.12	5	-0.11	6	17%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	27.2	15.8	27.2	1.5	33.5	130.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -16.9%

SEA +1.5%

SEA +28.2%

SEA +39.2%

POR -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	POR	NBA	SEA	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	15.0	15.6	94.8	85.6	102.5
season	15.3	15.9		109.3	101.9
opponent	15.4	16.2		100.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.5	14.7	17.5	15.0	14.8
POR	15.7	14.1	14.6	15.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Kersey	57	57	0.68	-0.17	0.85	0.15	18	-10	28	14.1	15.9	-1.82	14.5	15.7	-1.23
Detlef Schrempf	73	74	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.42	1	7	-6	15.0	14.4	0.54	15.0	15.0	0.00
Vin Baker	78	77	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	3	2	15.2	13.4	1.79	14.6	16.3	-1.70
Hersey Hawkins	55	54	0.32	0.19	0.13	0.38	-2	10	-12	15.4	14.1	1.35	14.4	15.8	-1.46
Gary Payton	78	79	0.29	0.22	0.07	0.23	2	6	-4	15.4	12.2	3.23	14.7	16.1	-1.36
Greg Anthony	18	18	0.22	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	2	4	12.2	15.4	-3.23	16.1	14.7	1.36
Dale Ellis	41	43	0.19	0.32	-0.13	-0.11	10	-2	12	14.1	15.4	-1.35	15.8	14.4	1.46
Sam Perkins	40	42	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	1	6	13.5	15.8	-2.30	15.2	14.8	0.42
Aaron Williams	40	41	-0.13	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	15	-22	16.3	13.8	2.58	16.1	14.2	1.94

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Crotty	68	68	-0.05	-0.46	0.41	-0.31	9	-17	26	14.1	17.1	-2.95	15.8	12.5	3.26
Kelvin Cato	26	24	-0.06	-0.45	0.38	0.09	-5	-3	-2	16.7	14.4	2.26	13.9	15.2	-1.29
Rasheed Wallace	77	77	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.32	6	-14	20	14.6	16.5	-1.89	15.8	11.1	4.73
Jermaine O'Neal	9	9	-0.15	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	0	-8	14.2	15.1	-0.86	12.1	15.1	-3.02
Vincent Askew	15	15	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.03	-5	-3	-2	16.5	14.7	1.73	14.9	14.8	0.03
Sean Higgins	22	21	-0.29	-0.22	-0.07	0.03	-11	3	-14	15.1	15.0	0.12	13.8	15.1	-1.38
Arvydas Sabonis	66	67	-0.30	-0.21	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-6	4	15.3	14.5	0.81	14.9	14.7	0.27
Stacey Augmon	82	80	-0.31	-0.20	-0.11	-0.43	4	-12	16	14.5	17.5	-2.92	15.5	11.5	4.01
Kenny Anderson	31	31	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	12	-32	16.5	14.3	2.23	11.6	16.4	-4.77
Brian Grant	89	88	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	0	-8	15.0	14.6	0.41	14.6	18.0	-3.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.44,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.53,0.46,0.65,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 108, TOR 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.27,0	93.1%
POR 82, LAC 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.47,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.63,0.45,0.15,0	91.4%
LAC 83, VAN 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.32,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.72,0.45,0.15,0	90.4%