NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	5.3 [730]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +17.0%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	2.6 [926]		LVP	Darrick Martin (LAC): -14.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	12	77%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	9	78%	0.13	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	8	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	44%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	10	64%	0.05	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
James Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	10	45%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Loy Vaught	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	12	54%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Darrick Martin	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	9	10%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.04	0.01	11	83%	0.19	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	7	71%	0.12	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.04
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rex Chapman	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	18	57%	0.07	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.03	9	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	12	50%	0.05	4	-0.08	6	67%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	8	33%	-0.06	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	27.4	14.7	25.2	1.7	28.0	122.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +19.2%

PHX +12.4%

LAC -10.2%

PHX +21.2%

PHX +7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.6	13.8	15.6	102.0	112.2	102.5
season	15.5	15.0		101.0	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.1		100.0	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.4	16.5	17.0	16.0	15.6
PHX	13.3	12.3	14.3	15.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	5	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-10	10	14.8	15.7	-0.87	14.7	13.7	0.96
James Robinson	39	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-5	0	15.1	16.0	-0.95	14.1	13.5	0.60
Darrick Martin	56	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-8	6	15.4	15.9	-0.49	13.8	13.7	0.06
Stojko Vrankovic	52	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-10	10	15.5	15.7	-0.18	14.0	13.5	0.50
Rodney Rogers	55	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-9	8	15.5	15.8	-0.34	14.1	13.2	0.91
Brent Barry	67	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-8	6	15.9	15.1	0.77	13.8	13.7	0.12
Pooh Richardson	39	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-1	-8	15.3	15.8	-0.57	13.4	14.0	-0.66
Loy Vaught	77	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-4	-2	16.2	13.4	2.79	13.8	13.8	-0.02
Lorenzen Wright	50	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	0	-10	15.8	15.5	0.32	13.7	13.9	-0.16
Lamond Murray	50	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	5	-20	15.5	15.7	-0.25	13.0	14.5	-1.52

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	91	89	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	0	10	13.7	14.1	-0.41	15.6	15.4	0.20
Antonio McDyess	57	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	2	6	14.0	13.5	0.48	15.8	15.4	0.32
Hot Rod Williams	40	39	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	-3	16	12.6	14.6	-1.97	15.1	15.9	-0.82
Steve Nash	44	45	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	-2	14	12.2	15.0	-2.79	14.4	16.7	-2.26
Danny Manning	55	55	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	-1	12	13.3	14.3	-1.04	15.6	15.6	-0.01
Kevin Johnson	77	77	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	7	-4	13.9	13.2	0.67	15.8	15.0	0.85
Rex Chapman	69	71	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	10	-10	14.8	11.2	3.58	16.0	14.6	1.37
Clifford Robinson	57	57	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.22	-7	17	-24	14.6	12.6	1.94	16.1	15.0	1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.74,0.65,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 66, POR 80	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
DAL 89, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.87,0.95,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,1,1,1	93.8%
MIL 85, ORL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.8%