NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	103		Excitement	4.8 [815]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +14.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	88		Comeback	1.2 [734]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -19.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.06	-0.01	15	62%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	9	73%	0.13	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.03	7	71%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Breaux	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Nordgaard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerald Honeycutt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.14	-0.04	0.13	20	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Armen Gilliam	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	13	64%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	56%	-0.02	1	-0.00	7	71%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	36%	-0.04	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	9	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.03	0.01	16	45%	-0.05	5	-0.13	6	83%	0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.05	-0.00	5	36%	-0.04	5	-0.16	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.0	25.0	15.0	28.2	1.6	11684.0	11783.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +52.1%

PHI -3.4%

PHI -9.1%

MIL +10.2%

MIL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.6	16.7	15.6	112.0	95.7	102.5
season	16.0	15.4		101.1	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.1		102.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	11.4	14.5	16.1	16.6	14.6
PHI	17.9	18.2	15.2	15.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	73	74	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.02	16	-1	17	14.6	14.5	0.10	17.1	15.2	1.90
Ray Allen	78	79	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	6	3	14.8	13.6	1.14	16.6	17.3	-0.71
Tyrone Hill	58	61	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	8	-1	15.2	13.6	1.67	17.1	15.8	1.34
Elliot Perry	40	38	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	7	1	15.2	14.1	1.13	17.9	15.9	2.00
Armen Gilliam	55	52	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	9	-3	13.8	15.8	-1.97	16.6	16.8	-0.27
Ervin Johnson	36	40	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.10	11	4	7	15.7	13.9	1.78	16.8	16.6	0.27
Michael Curry	54	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	4	7	13.8	15.8	-2.06	16.0	17.5	-1.47
Terrell Brandon	50	53	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	8	-1	14.2	15.1	-0.94	16.0	17.6	-1.60
Jamie Feick	11	10	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	13	-11	14.5	14.6	-0.07	16.2	16.8	-0.56
Tim Breaux	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	12.5	14.7	-2.16	8.0	16.8	-8.79
Jeff Nordgaard	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	12.5	14.7	-2.16	8.0	16.8	-8.79
Jerald Honeycutt	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	19.0	14.6	4.44	0.0	16.7	-16.70

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rex Walters	31	31	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.22	9	-24	33	16.4	16.9	-0.51	16.0	13.9	2.15
Terry Cummings	22	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-13	11	16.8	16.7	0.16	13.1	15.1	-1.97
Tim Thomas	23	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-10	5	17.0	16.6	0.41	15.5	14.3	1.21
Scott Williams	24	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-14	13	18.0	16.2	1.71	13.5	15.0	-1.49
Mark Davis	35	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-8	1	15.3	17.5	-2.23	14.7	14.5	0.16
Clar. Weatherspoon	61	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-11	7	16.8	16.5	0.27	15.7	12.6	3.12
Jerry Stackhouse	52	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-2	-11	17.5	15.7	1.76	14.0	15.2	-1.19
Jim Jackson	78	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-5	-5	16.3	18.8	-2.47	14.6	14.8	-0.26
Doug Overton	61	61	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.16	-24	9	-33	16.9	16.4	0.51	13.9	16.0	-2.15
Derrick Coleman	73	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.02	-18	3	-21	16.6	17.1	-0.52	14.6	14.6	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 105, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	95.4%
DET 89, CHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
OKC 90, UTA 80	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.07,0,0,0.01,0,0	95.0%