NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	85		Excitement	7.2 [365]		MVP	Chris Webber (WAS): +11.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	81		Comeback	4.1 [221]		LVP	Bob Sura (CLE): -20.5%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	16	64%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.1,0.1	-0.02	0.12	0.00	9	47%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.02
Tracy Murray	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	9	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Harvey Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Legler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jaren Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	16	50%	0.05	5	-0.13	6	83%	0.04
Juwan Howard	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	14	33%	-0.09	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.08	-0.01	12	46%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	9	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.04,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.01	26	51%	0.01	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	7	37%	-0.09	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21	-0.21	-0.03	-0.15	0.02	7	50%	-0.15	1	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.7	29.1	18.6	24.5	2.7	42.2	145.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +29.7%

WAS +11.7%

WAS +16.2%

CLE -9.1%

WAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	17.9	18.8	15.6	107.6	103.8	104.4
season	14.8	17.8		104.3	102.1
opponent	16.1	15.8		100.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	19.2	20.1	15.0	17.7	17.9
CLE	14.1	21.0	19.3	21.3	18.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy Murray	35	35	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-7	18	17.8	18.0	-0.20	19.3	18.3	0.97
Rod Strickland	75	75	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	-4	12	17.6	23.5	-5.89	18.0	38.7	-20.68
Juwan Howard	73	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	1	2	18.5	10.8	7.66	19.2	14.0	5.18
Calbert Cheaney	40	41	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.44	0	4	-4	18.2	17.6	0.58	20.0	17.5	2.46
Chris Webber	71	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	3	-2	17.8	18.9	-1.07	18.4	21.9	-3.45
Tim Legler	20	21	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.06	11	-7	18	17.6	18.0	-0.42	19.3	18.6	0.69
Gheorghe Muresan	34	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	-2	8	17.9	17.9	-0.05	20.4	17.6	2.79
Chris Whitney	4	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	8	-12	23.5	17.6	5.89	38.7	18.0	20.68
Lorenzo Williams	3	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	5	-6	9.3	18.2	-8.92	15.2	19.0	-3.72
Harvey Grant	18	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	9	-14	18.3	17.8	0.47	15.7	19.6	-3.93
Jaren Jackson	22	19	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	14	-24	17.2	18.2	-1.01	15.2	19.9	-4.72

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark West	12	12	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-8	12	23.1	18.0	5.08	21.2	17.3	3.94
Vitaly Potapenko	36	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-3	2	19.5	18.1	1.38	18.9	17.2	1.70
Bobby Phills	24	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.15	-2	-2	0	22.2	17.3	4.89	19.0	17.4	1.62
Chris Mills	74	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.30	-2	-2	0	18.7	21.0	-2.34	17.8	20.0	-2.17
Tyrone Hill	48	49	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-2	0	18.0	20.1	-2.09	17.2	19.1	-1.92
Bob Sura	69	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-2	0	18.4	22.0	-3.64	17.8	18.6	-0.73
Terrell Brandon	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	1	-6	17.9	24.5	-6.56	17.4	20.9	-3.48
Danny Ferry	59	61	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.39	-10	6	-16	18.3	20.2	-1.82	17.6	19.0	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.72,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.44,0.47,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.36,0.23,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 86, SAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.39,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.27,0	92.8%
LAC 100, OKC 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.06,0.08,0	92.5%
DET 99, OKC 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.6,0.69,0.77,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.28,0.14,0.04,0	92.4%