NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	122		Excitement	11.1 [36]		MVP	Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf (SAC): +105.5%
Golden State Warriors	120		Comeback	15.8 [48]		LVP	Donyell Marshall (GSW): -36.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	1.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.46,1.06	0.21	0.84	-0.00	17	78%	1.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.01	0.13	-0.02	21	52%	0.28	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.04
Brian Grant	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	4	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Salvadori	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Billy Owens	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lionel Simmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Michael Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	57%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Jeff Grayer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	18	57%	0.04	5	-0.14	4	25%	-0.06

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48	0.48	0.12	0.36	0.00	13	78%	0.53	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.05
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	5	82%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.07	-0.01	14	43%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Booker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	12	54%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ray Owes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	6	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	15	42%	0.08	4	-0.17	1	100%	0.02
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	4	59%	-0.01	2	-0.12	9	67%	-0.07
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.09,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.21,-0.36	-0.36	-0.05	-0.30	0.01	26	43%	-0.27	1	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.5	1.7	24.1	14.8	26.0	1.8	37.1	0.7	15.4	142.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +74.5%

SAC +0.0%

GSW -35.4%

SAC +19.2%

GSW -8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	GSW	NBA	SAC	GSW	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.6	118.4	116.5	104.4
season	15.4	15.0		102.4	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.4		109.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	13.8	17.7	17.3	14.2	17.2	15.7
GSW	13.9	14.4	15.5	16.5	16.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	79	82	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-9	20	15.0	18.2	-3.21	14.9	15.9	-0.92
Mitch Richmond	85	87	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.40	7	-5	12	15.1	18.9	-3.81	14.9	16.4	-1.55
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	48	47	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.48	3	-1	4	15.9	15.6	0.28	16.3	14.2	2.08
Olden Polynice	67	67	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	-1	4	15.6	16.1	-0.56	15.2	15.0	0.19
Billy Owens	47	45	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.53	0	2	-2	16.1	15.5	0.62	16.1	14.4	1.75
Michael Smith	70	71	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.49	-10	12	-22	17.1	12.8	4.31	14.8	15.9	-1.13
Brian Grant	16	15	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.09	9	-7	16	13.4	16.2	-2.73	15.9	15.0	0.94
Jeff Grayer	7	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	3	-4	18.9	15.5	3.34	18.3	14.9	3.41
Bobby Hurley	55	56	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.04	-1	3	-4	15.6	15.9	-0.28	14.2	16.3	-2.08
Kevin Salvadori	29	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	7	-12	16.1	15.6	0.50	14.7	15.3	-0.57
Lionel Simmons	12	11	-0.51	1.01	-1.52	-0.34	-6	8	-14	17.5	15.5	1.98	14.5	15.2	-0.75

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Burrell	64	63	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.09	6	-8	14	14.5	16.2	-1.65	15.6	16.0	-0.49
Mark Price	48	50	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.10	5	-7	12	15.1	15.2	-0.12	15.1	16.3	-1.22
Ray Owes	15	15	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-3	4	15.9	15.0	0.94	17.9	15.4	2.48
Chris Mullin	41	41	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-1	0	14.8	15.3	-0.49	15.4	16.0	-0.63
Felton Spencer	44	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	1	-4	15.0	15.2	-0.14	15.3	16.1	-0.74
Joe Smith	63	65	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-2	2	15.2	15.0	0.17	15.8	15.7	0.14
Todd Fuller	49	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	0	-2	15.2	15.1	0.15	16.5	15.1	1.33
Donyell Marshall	73	73	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.37	-11	9	-20	15.4	14.4	0.98	15.2	17.1	-1.86
Andrew DeClercq	53	51	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.70	-1	-1	0	15.4	14.8	0.60	16.7	14.8	1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.83,0.8,0.61,0.45,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.89,0.83,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 105, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.53,0.25,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.58,0	86.8%
SEA 113, ATL 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.57,0.16,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.78,0.74,0	86.8%
LAC 115, TOR 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.56,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.37,0.34,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.85,0.58,0	86.7%