NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	7.7 [279]		MVP	John Starks (NYK): +31.3%
Chicago Bulls	101		Comeback	8.6 [43]		LVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): -18.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.31	0.08	0.24	0.00	14	61%	0.31	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Patrick Ewing	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.07,0.01,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.10	0.03	21	61%	0.26	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0.08	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	16	62%	0.24	5	-0.16	8	87%	0.04
Charles Oakley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Buck Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	43%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.05
Chris Childs	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.03
Larry Johnson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	0.00	8	17%	-0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.13	-0.00	5	83%	0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.01	22	63%	0.24	4	-0.13	8	50%	-0.06
Bison Dele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	0.00	6	57%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Parish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.08	0.01	7	63%	0.02	2	-0.11	5	80%	-0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	10	50%	-0.04	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.7	33.3	19.6	30.1	2.5	39.0	154.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +14.9%

NYK +8.1%

NYK +24.2%

CHI -1.8%

NYK +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.6	107.3	105.2	104.4
season	15.1	15.5		102.0	110.5
opponent	16.1	16.1		99.8	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.0	15.5	14.3	16.7	15.1
CHI	12.1	16.4	16.2	15.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	71	73	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.29	12	-10	22	15.4	14.2	1.25	15.4	13.3	2.12
Patrick Ewing	81	82	0.65	-0.14	0.79	0.38	9	-7	16	14.8	16.5	-1.64	15.1	13.9	1.24
John Starks	52	51	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.47	5	-3	8	14.8	15.5	-0.69	14.9	14.9	0.05
Charles Oakley	78	77	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.46	1	1	0	15.3	14.2	1.13	14.8	15.4	-0.56
Chris Childs	74	74	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.46	-6	8	-14	15.2	14.8	0.40	14.7	15.6	-0.93
Charlie Ward	34	32	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	0	2	14.4	15.4	-0.99	14.8	15.0	-0.11
John Wallace	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	1	0	15.0	15.1	-0.09	13.9	15.0	-1.14
Buck Williams	33	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.02	-5	7	-12	15.2	15.0	0.20	14.7	15.0	-0.29
Larry Johnson	50	51	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.01	-8	10	-18	15.3	14.9	0.37	14.7	15.2	-0.53

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dickey Simpkins	7	7	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.03	4	-6	10	17.9	14.7	3.17	16.9	14.9	1.91
Bison Dele	32	31	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-3	4	16.2	14.2	2.00	15.6	14.8	0.78
Jud Buechler	27	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-5	8	15.1	14.8	0.27	15.8	14.8	1.02
Robert Parish	14	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.09	-5	3	-8	13.4	15.2	-1.83	14.6	15.2	-0.54
Ron Harper	41	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	1	-4	14.3	15.4	-1.05	15.2	15.0	0.15
Randy Brown	27	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-3	4	16.7	14.2	2.54	16.0	14.7	1.28
Jason Caffey	69	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-2	2	14.9	15.0	-0.17	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Scottie Pippen	77	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-1	0	14.2	17.8	-3.65	14.9	15.8	-0.83
Luc Longley	54	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.47	1	-3	4	14.8	15.0	-0.23	15.2	14.9	0.32
Michael Jordan	82	81	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.34	-8	6	-14	14.2	19.2	-5.03	14.9	16.2	-1.32
Steve Kerr	50	50	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.51	-3	1	-4	16.0	13.8	2.22	14.5	15.7	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.77,0.59,0.59,0.39,0.45,0.71,0.55,0.31,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, NOP 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.42,0	91.2%
CLE 93, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.79,0.76,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.45,0.27,0	90.8%
PHI 98, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.56,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.47,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.28,0	90.6%