NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	98		Excitement	1.4 [870]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (LAL): +12.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	114		Comeback	1.6 [1000]		LVP	Kevin Johnson (PHX): -13.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Manning	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	81%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Horacio Llamas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayman Tisdale	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Loren Meyer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.17	-0.00	-0.10	18	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	12	75%	0.01
Cedric Ceballos	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	7	42%	-0.07	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.03
Kevin Johnson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.03	0.05	17	55%	-0.02	4	-0.11	8	62%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	18	67%	0.17	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	60%	0.05	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Byron Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.04	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	63%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.03	22	51%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	0%	-0.05
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	8	61%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	12	39%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	25.2	18.0	28.0	2.4	31.5	134.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.6%

LAL +1.6%

LAL +11.9%

LAL +5.7%

PHX -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	14.4	15.8	15.6	102.1	120.0	104.4
season	14.6	15.3		106.8	105.8
opponent	15.7	15.6		101.5	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	18.0	14.9	14.0	11.3	14.4
LAL	15.6	15.1	14.9	17.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	32	31	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.14	10	-26	36	12.8	15.1	-2.33	16.3	15.6	0.73
Wayman Tisdale	44	44	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.17	9	-25	34	13.7	14.9	-1.13	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Horacio Llamas	19	20	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-20	24	10.9	15.2	-4.26	16.5	15.6	0.95
Loren Meyer	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	0.0	14.5	-14.52	28.0	15.7	12.33
Steve Nash	5	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.14	-5	-11	6	9.2	14.6	-5.45	19.7	15.6	4.12
Cedric Ceballos	37	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-18	20	13.5	14.9	-1.34	16.7	15.2	1.52
Hot Rod Williams	26	26	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	-10	4	17.0	13.4	3.56	14.9	16.1	-1.21
Mike Brown	47	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-9	2	14.6	14.2	0.37	15.9	15.7	0.18
Wesley Person	42	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-5	-6	13.6	15.0	-1.37	15.4	16.1	-0.75
Kevin Johnson	81	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.11	-22	6	-28	15.1	10.6	4.46	15.3	18.5	-3.25
Jason Kidd	80	80	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	0.13	-26	10	-36	14.8	12.2	2.61	16.0	14.7	1.35
Rex Chapman	66	65	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	0.19	-30	14	-44	15.5	11.8	3.73	15.6	16.3	-0.68

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	82	84	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.12	24	-8	32	15.5	17.5	-2.01	14.8	11.1	3.75
Kobe Bryant	54	53	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.10	16	0	16	15.9	15.7	0.16	15.7	12.7	3.02
Eddie Jones	73	75	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.10	21	-5	26	14.9	18.8	-3.87	14.1	15.5	-1.42
Robert Horry	67	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	-2	20	15.7	15.9	-0.18	14.7	13.7	0.97
Shaquille O'Neal	48	48	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	7	2	15.6	16.0	-0.31	15.4	13.3	2.15
Sean Rooks	43	43	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	14	-12	15.6	16.0	-0.36	13.8	14.8	-1.08
Jerome Kersey	33	35	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.15	9	7	2	16.1	15.7	0.40	13.4	14.9	-1.52
Byron Scott	45	45	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	18	-20	17.2	14.5	2.66	13.1	15.5	-2.32
Travis Knight	4	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	18	-20	18.7	15.7	3.08	12.8	14.5	-1.65
Derek Fisher	13	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.15	-8	24	-32	17.5	15.5	2.01	11.1	14.8	-3.75
Corie Blount	13	13	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	23	-30	15.6	15.8	-0.21	14.6	14.3	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 97, GSW 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SAS 84, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
NJN 94, PHX 118	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%