NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	7.8 [262]		MVP	Corie Blount (LAL): +13.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	97		Comeback	1.0 [244]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -12.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	7	75%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jerome Kersey	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	9	67%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	-0.01	-0.03	5	90%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0,0.05	-0.06	0.08	-0.03	28	46%	0.14	2	-0.09	9	78%	0.05
Byron Scott	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	16	53%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Sean Rooks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	7	25%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.09	-0.01	13	50%	0.07	1	-0.01	12	92%	0.14
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate McMillan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	90%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	6	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	15	51%	-0.03	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.02
Larry Stewart	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.03,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	10	59%	0.07	3	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	20	41%	-0.08	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	39.3	2.6	29.2	17.6	27.3	2.7	37.0	155.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.7%

LAL +1.7%

LAL +2.3%

LAL +6.0%

LAL +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SEA	NBA	LAL	SEA	NBA
this game	18.0	14.2	15.6	111.2	107.8	104.4
season	15.3	14.9		105.8	108.9
opponent	16.2	15.7		100.8	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.6	18.8	19.4	18.4	18.0
SEA	14.4	13.9	13.4	15.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	79	81	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-8	18	17.4	23.1	-5.73	14.2	13.8	0.46
Jerome Kersey	78	79	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.35	10	-8	18	17.7	19.9	-2.17	13.9	16.1	-2.17
Nick Van Exel	79	80	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.48	0	2	-2	18.0	17.8	0.24	14.2	14.2	-0.01
Corie Blount	57	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	2	-2	17.1	19.6	-2.47	14.8	13.0	1.80
Byron Scott	52	50	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.49	-4	6	-10	18.1	17.9	0.25	14.0	14.4	-0.42
Elden Campbell	42	43	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	-5	12	18.2	17.9	0.29	14.6	13.8	0.84
Derek Fisher	10	10	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	0	2	17.8	18.0	-0.24	14.2	14.2	0.01
George McCloud	7	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	5	-8	22.7	17.6	5.10	13.7	14.2	-0.51
Travis Knight	2	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	5	-8	30.5	17.7	12.78	6.5	14.4	-7.86
Kobe Bryant	21	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	5	-8	20.8	17.2	3.60	14.7	14.0	0.65
Sean Rooks	18	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	8	-14	17.7	18.1	-0.36	13.0	14.5	-1.49

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Cummings	33	31	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.09	7	-9	16	14.6	14.0	0.61	20.7	16.6	4.14
Detlef Schrempf	37	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.47	10	-12	22	13.0	15.0	-2.02	18.2	17.9	0.30
Larry Stewart	17	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	8	-18	14.6	14.1	0.56	13.9	18.9	-4.98
Jim McIlvaine	17	16	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	8	-18	14.6	14.1	0.56	14.5	18.8	-4.28
David Wingate	23	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	3	-8	12.0	15.0	-3.00	19.0	17.6	1.41
Shawn Kemp	59	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.58	13	-15	28	14.5	13.6	0.83	19.4	15.2	4.21
Sam Perkins	46	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	8	-18	14.9	13.5	1.39	17.2	18.8	-1.55
Nate McMillan	59	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.52	8	-10	18	14.1	14.4	-0.25	18.6	16.9	1.63
Gary Payton	84	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.48	1	-3	4	14.1	15.3	-1.23	18.1	16.5	1.62
Hersey Hawkins	75	73	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.31	-14	12	-26	14.6	12.1	2.47	16.8	23.4	-6.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.21,0.19,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.1,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 82, MIL 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.21,0.41,0.24,0.47,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.42,0	92.5%
PHI 98, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.04,0,0,0	92.4%
TOR 95, ATL 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.04,0	92.4%