NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	96		Excitement	7.9 [259]		MVP	Doug Overton (PHI): +11.4%
Detroit Pistons	92		Comeback	20.8 [14]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -20.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Overton	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	10	79%	0.22	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Jerry Stackhouse	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.02	10	81%	0.22	5	-0.15	7	100%	0.05
Scott Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	13	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Michael Cage	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.12,-0.02	-0.12	0.10	-0.00	18	36%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.13
Mark Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	55%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Mark Hendrickson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Rex Walters	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otis Thorpe	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	16	57%	0.10	1	-0.04	10	60%	-0.02
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.05	-0.01	6	71%	0.09	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	19	46%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	8	31%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.10	-0.00	9	44%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.13	-0.02	17	48%	-0.11	3	-0.10	12	67%	-0.20

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.6	26.2	14.5	23.6	2.3	42.5	137.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +11.5%

PHI +44.1%

DET -3.9%

PHI +6.5%

DET -8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.6	106.7	102.2	104.4
season	14.7	17.1		101.4	107.6
opponent	16.2	14.7		102.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.5	18.7	16.3	16.4	16.2
DET	16.5	12.6	18.9	15.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Overton	75	76	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.35	13	-9	22	15.6	19.0	-3.36	16.2	13.8	2.39
Jerry Stackhouse	71	72	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.62	1	3	-2	15.3	19.5	-4.22	15.4	17.4	-1.99
Clar. Weatherspoon	78	78	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.44	5	-1	6	16.7	12.7	4.08	15.9	14.8	1.12
Mark Davis	57	59	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-6	16	16.0	16.5	-0.50	15.6	16.3	-0.70
Derrick Coleman	74	75	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.40	4	0	4	15.6	19.1	-3.56	16.0	14.9	1.04
Michael Cage	1	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	4	-4	24.0	16.1	7.89	1.0	16.0	-14.97
Mark Hendrickson	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	3	-2	15.9	16.2	-0.33	15.1	15.9	-0.83
Lucious Harris	39	36	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.02	-3	7	-10	17.9	14.9	2.95	15.9	15.7	0.19
Scott Williams	28	27	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.10	-2	6	-8	16.5	16.1	0.44	17.2	15.2	1.98
Rex Walters	15	14	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.03	-9	13	-22	19.0	15.6	3.36	13.8	16.2	-2.39

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	19	20	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.01	7	-11	18	13.5	16.4	-2.88	18.2	15.6	2.57
Michael Curry	13	12	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.01	5	-9	14	11.8	16.5	-4.62	19.1	15.8	3.33
Lindsey Hunter	56	57	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.11	-2	-2	0	17.5	12.9	4.59	15.0	18.3	-3.27
Terry Mills	46	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.25	2	-6	8	15.8	15.8	0.05	15.9	16.5	-0.52
Aaron McKie	43	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.50	6	-10	16	13.9	17.6	-3.71	17.1	15.3	1.80
Theo Ratliff	33	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.08	-12	8	-20	16.2	15.6	0.65	15.5	16.6	-1.08
Otis Thorpe	82	83	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	1	-6	16.1	12.2	3.90	16.1	17.0	-0.87
Joe Dumars	78	77	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.39	-8	4	-12	15.5	17.8	-2.35	16.7	13.2	3.47
Grant Hill	80	81	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.35	-13	9	-22	16.6	9.6	6.98	15.6	21.2	-5.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.64,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 101, OKC 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.63,0.67,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.53,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.84,0	91.3%
CHI 91, MIL 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.88,0.89,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.73,0	90.5%
MEM 90, NOP 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.59,0.65,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.68,0.58,0	90.1%