NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	104		Excitement	8.7 [153]		MVP	Gheorghe Muresan (WAS): +28.3%
Washington Bullets	108		Comeback	1.4 [722]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (POR): -20.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0,0.07	-0.01	0.09	0.00	17	65%	0.28	6	-0.20	9	100%	0.14
Rasheed Wallace	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	14	69%	0.13	2	-0.08	8	75%	-0.08
Stacey Augmon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	83%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Rumeal Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Mitchell Butler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16	0.01	-0.20	-0.03	15	57%	-0.04	2	-0.12	5	80%	-0.13
Kenny Anderson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	11	44%	-0.09	2	-0.08	10	60%	-0.03
Clifford Robinson	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21	-0.15	-0.06	-0.00	7	0%	-0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.09,0.28	0.28	0.03	0.26	0.01	11	65%	0.33	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.07
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.05	0.14	-0.01	13	61%	0.23	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	0	100%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	17	59%	0.11	2	-0.10	10	80%	0.01
Harvey Grant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	13	50%	-0.13	3	-0.07	18	78%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.08	-0.02	13	37%	-0.09	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.6	29.2	14.6	29.1	2.4	47.3	147.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +40.6%

POR -12.8%

POR -5.0%

WAS +28.0%

POR -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	WAS	NBA	POR	WAS	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	15.6	107.2	109.1	104.4
season	15.5	14.8		105.2	104.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		103.3	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.0	15.8	15.5	12.8	15.0
WAS	14.0	13.6	16.4	13.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rumeal Robinson	19	20	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-6	8	15.1	14.9	0.17	14.9	14.3	0.60
Gary Trent	21	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	0	-4	15.5	14.8	0.65	14.5	14.4	0.07
Chris Dudley	45	46	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-7	10	15.8	14.2	1.63	14.9	14.0	0.91
Clifford Robinson	82	84	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-10	16	14.8	16.1	-1.38	14.5	13.9	0.58
Mitchell Butler	7	6	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	2	-8	18.0	14.7	3.27	11.0	14.6	-3.65
Isaiah Rider	76	79	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-6	8	14.4	17.1	-2.77	14.6	13.6	0.97
Arvydas Sabonis	46	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	1	-6	14.4	15.5	-1.14	13.8	15.0	-1.27
Rasheed Wallace	87	88	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-3	2	14.8	16.5	-1.71	14.5	13.6	0.89
Stacey Augmon	24	24	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	7	-18	16.4	14.5	1.92	14.3	14.5	-0.18
Kenny Anderson	78	79	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.43	-6	2	-8	14.9	15.1	-0.17	14.3	14.9	-0.60

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	61	61	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.30	20	-16	36	14.3	14.7	-0.38	14.9	15.1	-0.18
Rod Strickland	93	92	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-1	6	14.3	16.3	-2.03	14.9	16.4	-1.51
Gheorghe Muresan	68	66	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-7	18	15.3	12.4	2.92	15.4	14.0	1.38
Juwan Howard	85	84	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.31	-1	5	-6	15.0	10.9	4.07	14.2	20.0	-5.81
Chris Webber	83	82	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	3	-2	14.7	12.8	1.92	15.2	13.5	1.78
Tracy Murray	48	47	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	3	-2	13.1	15.7	-2.60	14.8	15.1	-0.27
Chris Whitney	9	7	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	2	0	11.0	14.8	-3.77	12.6	15.2	-2.58
Harvey Grant	22	23	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.22	-6	10	-16	12.0	15.1	-3.18	15.4	14.8	0.55
Jaren Jackson	28	25	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.06	-12	16	-28	14.6	14.4	0.21	15.6	14.8	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.63,0.85,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 89, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.9,0.95,1	92.4%
MIA 102, BOS 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.58,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.67,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,1	91.9%
SAS 88, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,1	91.8%