NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	97		Excitement	7.8 [274]		MVP	Steven Smith (ATL): +32.5%
Atlanta Hawks	91		Comeback	2.7 [242]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): -35.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Kemp	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.19	0.02	0.17	-0.00	16	60%	0.24	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.04
Sam Perkins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Hersey Hawkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.01	13	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
David Wingate	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	4	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Terry Cummings	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	47%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Gary Payton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	19	50%	0.04	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Nate McMillan	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Larry Stewart	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.42,0.32	0.32	0.17	0.18	0.03	20	77%	0.44	4	-0.11	7	100%	0.07
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	10	100%	0.08
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	14	50%	-0.00	4	-0.12	8	75%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25,-0.35	-0.35	-0.10	-0.26	-0.01	8	50%	-0.07	6	-0.28	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.0	25.3	14.6	27.2	2.7	36.2	131.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +15.1%

SEA +5.9%

ATL -11.7%

SEA +37.3%

SEA +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	ATL	NBA	SEA	ATL	NBA
this game	14.5	18.4	15.6	110.2	104.6	104.4
season	14.9	16.4		108.9	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.2		100.3	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.4	14.4	13.6	14.0	14.5
ATL	22.4	17.6	15.8	18.7	18.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	82	81	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	0	6	14.6	12.7	1.97	18.4	19.2	-0.78
Nate McMillan	42	41	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	2	2	13.2	15.7	-2.55	17.9	18.9	-1.01
Sam Perkins	41	41	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-2	10	12.8	16.0	-3.22	17.7	19.1	-1.43
David Wingate	41	39	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	-2	10	13.5	15.3	-1.80	17.7	19.0	-1.26
Shawn Kemp	71	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	-1	8	14.9	12.9	1.93	18.5	18.1	0.40
Terry Cummings	30	29	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	6	-6	14.0	14.8	-0.76	18.2	18.6	-0.34
Hersey Hawkins	68	68	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	8	-10	15.2	11.9	3.30	18.5	18.2	0.36
Larry Stewart	31	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.09	2	4	-2	15.6	13.9	1.67	19.9	17.6	2.37
Jim McIlvaine	34	34	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	9	-12	16.2	13.4	2.83	19.4	17.8	1.55

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry James	8	10	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-11	16	15.9	18.7	-2.82	20.4	13.7	6.66
Jon Barry	6	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-4	2	19.2	18.4	0.78	12.7	14.6	-1.97
Alan Henderson	31	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-12	18	19.2	18.0	1.18	14.5	14.5	0.02
Christian Laettner	73	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-5	4	17.7	22.4	-4.67	14.7	13.4	1.33
Eldridge Recasner	23	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-2	-2	19.0	18.2	0.71	12.8	15.1	-2.35
Steven Smith	73	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-5	4	18.1	20.4	-2.29	15.0	11.9	3.14
Mookie Blaylock	80	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-4	2	18.4	18.3	0.16	14.6	13.7	0.83
Tyrone Corbin	69	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.30	-9	3	-12	18.8	17.2	1.53	13.9	16.7	-2.79
Dikembe Mutombo	72	73	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.17	-22	16	-38	19.0	15.8	3.19	14.2	16.2	-2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.15,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.26,0	93.4%
CHI 106, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.59,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.15,0	92.5%
LAC 114, SEA 106	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.46,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.15,0.21,0.01,0.01,0	92.2%