NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	99		Excitement	7.5 [326]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): +15.1%
Washington Bullets	93		Comeback	1.3 [325]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): -17.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.02,0.12,0.15,0.15	0.00	0.17	0.02	17	56%	0.21	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.07	-0.00	17	55%	0.19	2	-0.11	6	100%	0.05
Rex Walters	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	0.02
Doug Overton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	13	54%	-0.02	4	-0.07	9	56%	-0.02
Mark Davis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	2	33%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	18	48%	-0.06	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.06

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.03	16	64%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	60%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ashraf Amaya	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	18	47%	-0.00	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	0.00	0.03	17	51%	-0.00	4	-0.11	7	14%	-0.09
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	10	45%	-0.02	4	-0.12	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.8	27.2	17.7	28.7	2.0	37.0	142.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -26.7%

PHI +41.0%

PHI +19.5%

PHI +14.3%

PHI +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	14.5	15.6	103.1	97.9	104.4
season	14.7	14.8		101.4	104.3
opponent	15.8	14.7		103.3	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.2	18.2	16.9	14.7	15.7
WAS	16.2	12.5	15.8	13.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	85	83	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.29	13	-7	20	15.1	19.8	-4.69	14.6	13.8	0.74
Allen Iverson	79	76	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-5	16	15.5	16.5	-1.05	14.7	13.8	0.87
Jerry Stackhouse	96	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	15.7	0.0	15.67	14.5	0.0	14.48
Clar. Weatherspoon	84	86	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	2	2	16.1	12.5	3.62	14.1	17.8	-3.64
Lucious Harris	36	36	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.31	6	0	6	15.7	15.6	0.09	14.0	14.8	-0.73
Michael Cage	26	24	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	7	-8	14.9	16.0	-1.07	16.4	13.8	2.59
Mark Davis	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	4	-2	13.5	16.2	-2.67	14.9	14.4	0.48
Doug Overton	7	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	8	-10	20.9	15.3	5.60	14.4	14.5	-0.12
Rex Walters	10	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	9	-12	13.5	15.9	-2.42	13.4	14.6	-1.27
Scott Williams	39	39	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	12	-18	17.3	14.5	2.81	14.1	14.7	-0.65

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gheorghe Muresan	56	56	0.29	-0.79	1.07	-0.09	13	-19	32	14.9	13.8	1.13	17.1	13.6	3.46
Chris Whitney	19	18	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.09	8	-14	22	12.4	15.0	-2.58	16.8	15.4	1.44
Jaren Jackson	15	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-4	2	12.0	14.9	-2.95	15.2	15.7	-0.59
Ashraf Amaya	12	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	1	-8	15.0	14.4	0.59	11.7	16.3	-4.60
Ben Wallace	17	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-1	-4	15.2	14.3	0.84	17.9	15.2	2.69
Harvey Grant	49	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-5	4	15.4	13.5	1.95	16.5	14.7	1.78
Tracy Murray	66	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.28	-6	0	-6	13.9	15.9	-1.98	15.8	15.3	0.56
Calbert Cheaney	82	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-2	-2	15.0	11.5	3.50	15.9	13.8	2.10
Juwan Howard	78	79	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.24	-13	7	-20	14.2	15.6	-1.34	14.7	19.9	-5.19
Rod Strickland	81	83	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.27	-13	7	-20	14.6	14.1	0.48	14.7	22.2	-7.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.28,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.16,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 115, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.29,0.14,0,0	93.7%
GSW 99, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.45,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.27,0.31,0.15,0.05,0.01,0	92.4%
DET 100, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.08,0	92.3%