NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	87		Excitement	3.6 [1053]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +18.3%
Chicago Bulls	120		Comeback	1.1 [1255]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (GSW): -10.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bimbo Coles	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Roe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ray Owes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	69%	0.06	5	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.14	-0.00	-0.10	10	10%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	20	43%	-0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	9	26%	-0.07	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.16	-0.00	-0.06	23	39%	-0.03	6	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.22	0.00	0.04	19	81%	0.23	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	12	52%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	7	76%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Bill Wennington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	18	55%	0.02	6	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.05	5	60%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	3	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.7	28.2	14.6	29.3	2.6	22.3	120.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +26.3%

CHI +12.8%

CHI +7.6%

CHI +3.5%

GSW -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHI	NBA	GSW	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	13.6	15.6	87.9	120.0	104.4
season	15.0	15.5		104.4	110.5
opponent	16.1	15.4		99.8	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.9	13.0	15.9	15.5	15.4
CHI	17.2	11.8	14.1	12.2	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	28	28	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.19	8	-41	49	11.5	16.9	-5.34	14.6	13.2	1.46
Lou Roe	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-29	25	14.4	15.5	-1.17	15.4	13.3	2.05
Ray Owes	19	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.32	-11	-22	11	16.6	15.1	1.50	13.7	13.6	0.09
Donyell Marshall	40	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.42	-18	-15	-3	15.5	15.3	0.27	11.8	14.7	-2.86
Mark Price	60	61	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.23	-12	-21	9	14.6	16.6	-2.02	12.5	15.4	-2.90
Todd Fuller	17	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.22	-14	-19	5	19.4	14.5	4.89	15.7	13.2	2.55
Felton Spencer	29	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.11	-12	-21	9	16.2	15.0	1.24	16.8	12.3	4.51
Scott Burrell	34	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.25	-17	-16	-1	15.0	15.6	-0.60	11.8	14.6	-2.83
Bimbo Coles	40	40	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	-14	-5	16.5	14.6	1.95	15.0	12.6	2.39
Latrell Sprewell	81	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.29	-23	-10	-13	15.5	14.7	0.85	13.4	14.3	-0.84
Joe Smith	70	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.29	-23	-10	-13	15.4	15.2	0.22	12.8	15.5	-2.65
Chris Mullin	63	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.10	-20	-13	-7	15.3	15.5	-0.21	14.0	12.9	1.14

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	63	62	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.16	22	11	11	14.2	12.6	1.62	15.3	15.5	-0.15
Dennis Rodman	40	40	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.15	19	14	5	16.6	11.6	5.06	17.1	14.2	2.91
Ron Harper	59	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.31	23	10	13	14.3	12.5	1.79	16.8	13.2	3.63
Scottie Pippen	68	67	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.20	19	14	5	13.8	13.1	0.78	15.1	16.0	-0.89
Luc Longley	35	35	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.09	15	18	-3	16.4	12.1	4.37	17.6	14.2	3.42
Jason Caffey	49	48	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.43	20	13	7	11.6	15.5	-3.92	15.6	15.1	0.51
Steve Kerr	65	64	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.38	18	15	3	12.1	16.4	-4.37	14.2	17.6	-3.42
Toni Kukoc	63	63	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.39	18	15	3	11.8	16.7	-4.94	14.4	17.1	-2.70
Jud Buechler	31	30	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.24	11	22	-11	12.6	14.0	-1.42	15.9	15.1	0.72
Bill Wennington	2	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	33	-33	21.5	13.4	8.07	0.0	15.5	-15.52
Dickey Simpkins	25	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	33	-33	13.9	13.5	0.44	12.2	16.5	-4.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 84, SAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
DET 87, WAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.65,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
SAC 74, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%