NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	105		Excitement	1.3 [947]		MVP	Vinny Del Negro (SAS): +18.5%
Utah Jazz	113		Comeback	1.2 [1242]		LVP	Vernon Maxwell (SAS): -12.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vinny Del Negro	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.21	0.00	0.03	13	90%	0.19	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Carl Herrera	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Wilkins	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	18	65%	0.08	5	-0.07	13	92%	0.05
Jamie Feick	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	2	83%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Will Perdue	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	71%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Cory Alexander	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.07	6	79%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Greg Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.15	-0.01	-0.08	11	21%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Vernon Maxwell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	10	18%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.02	17	73%	0.13	2	-0.02	17	76%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	0.01	8	60%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	11	66%	0.08	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	12	48%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Stephen Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.6	31.3	17.7	26.4	2.7	26.6	135.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +27.5%

UTA +7.3%

UTA +4.4%

UTA +8.3%

UTA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	16.8	14.8	15.6	115.4	124.2	104.4
season	16.8	15.6		100.8	110.8
opponent	16.0	15.4		102.2	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.7	15.5	20.9	14.9	16.8
UTA	14.6	15.2	15.1	14.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Herrera	65	63	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.29	8	-16	24	16.4	17.8	-1.40	15.4	13.5	1.93
Jamie Feick	9	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-8	8	14.3	17.1	-2.79	17.8	14.4	3.37
Cory Alexander	28	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.27	7	-15	22	14.2	18.0	-3.80	16.4	14.1	2.28
Vinny Del Negro	64	65	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.43	10	-18	28	16.7	17.1	-0.43	14.8	14.7	0.10
Will Perdue	65	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.40	6	-14	20	16.3	18.3	-1.99	14.0	16.8	-2.81
Avery Johnson	70	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	2	-12	18.0	13.0	4.94	14.2	17.1	-2.91
Vernon Maxwell	32	31	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.20	-20	12	-32	17.0	16.7	0.29	14.3	15.0	-0.73
Dominique Wilkins	74	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.09	-15	7	-22	17.2	15.4	1.76	15.0	14.0	1.00
Greg Anderson	48	50	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	0.10	-26	18	-44	18.0	15.5	2.53	14.5	15.2	-0.67

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	70	69	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.11	20	-12	32	15.0	14.1	0.92	17.3	15.5	1.78
Jeff Hornacek	61	60	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.10	15	-7	22	14.6	15.2	-0.54	17.7	15.2	2.56
Karl Malone	81	80	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.23	10	-2	12	14.0	21.5	-7.52	17.4	12.8	4.58
Greg Ostertag	42	41	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	0	8	14.1	15.4	-1.31	19.5	14.7	4.85
Chris Morris	26	27	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	4	0	16.5	14.1	2.32	15.1	17.6	-2.47
Bryon Russell	59	57	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.29	-4	12	-16	14.2	15.9	-1.70	17.8	15.2	2.67
Shandon Anderson	36	38	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	7	-6	14.9	14.7	0.14	15.2	18.0	-2.81
Greg Foster	13	14	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.03	5	3	2	16.5	14.5	1.94	15.6	17.1	-1.51
Antoine Carr	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.28	-7	15	-22	16.0	13.8	2.18	14.8	18.6	-3.80
Stephen Howard	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	20.0	14.5	5.50	8.5	17.4	-8.94
Howard Eisley	21	22	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.16	-12	20	-32	14.1	15.0	-0.92	15.5	17.3	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 93, CLE 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CLE 108, LAC 132	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.73,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.84,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SAS 87, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%