NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	108		Excitement	7.3 [363]		MVP	Todd Day (BOS): +25.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	113		Comeback	2.2 [1137]		LVP	Eric Williams (BOS): -18.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Day	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25	0.13	0.12	-0.00	10	78%	0.25	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Antoine Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	17	69%	0.21	6	-0.20	5	60%	-0.00
Rick Fox	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	-0.08	0.02	15	70%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marty Conlon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Alton Lister	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brett Szabo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	75%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	15	49%	0.04	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Eric Williams	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	15	47%	-0.02	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	16	63%	0.17	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	3	118%	0.23	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.04
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	15	65%	0.22	5	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.07	0.01	20	58%	0.16	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	117%	0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	12	53%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	37.7	2.5	27.4	15.6	23.2	1.6	37.3	145.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +34.0%

SEA +6.9%

SEA +6.3%

SEA +2.9%

BOS -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SEA	NBA	BOS	SEA	NBA
this game	16.6	14.2	15.6	114.9	121.5	104.4
season	14.8	14.9		101.8	108.9
opponent	16.2	14.7		100.8	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.5	15.9	19.5	15.9	16.6
SEA	11.6	16.1	15.7	14.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brett Szabo	29	29	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.01	6	-11	17	15.3	17.1	-1.80	13.1	14.8	-1.70
Michael Hawkins	3	2	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-5	5	13.7	16.6	-2.98	19.5	14.1	5.38
Alton Lister	6	5	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-3	1	15.5	16.6	-1.13	12.0	14.4	-2.36
Marty Conlon	45	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-1	-3	16.3	16.8	-0.42	13.9	14.5	-0.69
Antoine Walker	78	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-2	-1	16.6	16.1	0.52	14.6	12.1	2.55
Rick Fox	83	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.31	-5	0	-5	16.6	16.3	0.32	14.5	12.1	2.39
Eric Williams	90	89	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.38	-5	0	-5	16.5	17.0	-0.47	14.2	14.7	-0.54
David Wesley	78	80	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.40	-5	0	-5	17.1	14.1	3.00	13.8	17.2	-3.39
Todd Day	58	56	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.34	-7	2	-9	16.8	16.2	0.58	14.9	13.2	1.74

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	86	87	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	-4	13	13.8	19.9	-6.08	16.9	12.6	4.30
Detlef Schrempf	81	81	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	-3	11	13.5	19.4	-5.95	17.1	13.2	3.86
Sam Perkins	56	57	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.36	6	-1	7	14.8	13.4	1.47	16.4	16.9	-0.51
David Wingate	33	34	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	-3	11	14.8	13.9	0.81	16.7	16.4	0.29
Hersey Hawkins	76	75	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	8	-11	14.4	13.6	0.79	16.3	17.6	-1.29
Shawn Kemp	50	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	7	-9	13.9	14.7	-0.77	15.7	17.6	-1.85
Terry Cummings	11	11	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.00	1	4	-3	18.5	13.7	4.89	16.7	16.5	0.20
Eric Snow	7	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	5	-5	10.7	14.5	-3.81	15.7	16.6	-0.88
Jim McIlvaine	32	32	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	11	-17	13.4	14.7	-1.27	16.1	16.8	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.98,1,1	93.5%
WAS 92, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	93.5%
IND 77, CLE 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.84,0.96,1	93.4%