NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	101		Excitement	4.7 [848]		MVP	Danny Ferry (CLE): +11.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Comeback	1.0 [1213]		LVP	Jayson Williams (NJN): -12.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	21	65%	0.16	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Kendall Gill	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.03	22	61%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Xavier McDaniel	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.04	7	87%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jack Haley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	12	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Massenburg	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Khalid Reeves	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Jayson Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	6	21%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.01	12	65%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	11	73%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Chris Mills	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	9	70%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	11	61%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Terrell Brandon	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	18	56%	0.02	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Donny Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	23.5	15.5	23.4	2.4	32.6	125.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +18.8%

CLE +16.0%

CLE +11.4%

CLE +2.9%

CLE +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CLE	NBA	NJN	CLE	NBA
this game	15.9	17.0	15.6	114.8	124.1	104.4
season	15.4	17.8		101.7	102.1
opponent	16.1	14.9		100.0	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.9	14.9	15.8	17.1	15.9
CLE	14.7	20.4	18.5	14.9	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jack Haley	6	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.07	1	-8	9	17.2	15.8	1.33	9.0	17.7	-8.69
Xavier McDaniel	55	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.41	10	-17	27	15.7	16.2	-0.50	17.5	16.0	1.49
Khalid Reeves	14	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.10	-8	1	-9	16.7	15.8	0.93	13.2	17.6	-4.34
Tony Massenburg	28	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-3	-1	18.2	14.9	3.35	18.3	16.3	2.05
Kevin Edwards	70	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-10	13	15.5	17.8	-2.32	17.3	15.6	1.67
Shawn Bradley	61	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-1	-5	15.5	16.9	-1.43	17.7	15.6	2.09
Kendall Gill	79	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-2	-3	16.5	10.8	5.74	16.8	18.6	-1.80
Jayson Williams	42	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	12	-31	15.1	16.7	-1.65	16.6	17.3	-0.77
Kerry Kittles	85	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	0	-7	15.7	23.3	-7.66	17.0	18.5	-1.55

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	78	79	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-5	17	16.7	19.9	-3.24	15.5	19.8	-4.28
Bobby Phills	74	74	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.19	12	-5	17	16.8	18.0	-1.19	15.3	19.1	-3.82
Terrell Brandon	71	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-4	15	15.9	21.8	-5.91	15.0	20.6	-5.60
Chris Mills	61	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	-3	13	15.6	20.3	-4.73	16.3	15.1	1.13
Donny Marshall	26	25	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	6	-5	18.2	16.5	1.77	17.9	15.2	2.72
Vitaly Potapenko	31	29	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	6	-5	18.0	16.4	1.57	17.9	15.0	2.93
Danny Ferry	56	57	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.31	-5	12	-17	17.2	16.6	0.63	15.5	16.7	-1.15
Mark West	9	11	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	1	5	15.0	17.2	-2.22	16.0	15.9	0.08
Bob Sura	29	28	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.24	-13	20	-33	22.0	14.5	7.47	17.4	15.2	2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 102, UTA 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MIL 91, HOU 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1	95.0%
DAL 76, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%