NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	100		Excitement	5.3 [737]		MVP	Rafael Addison (CHH): +11.8%
Charlotte Hornets	113		Comeback	1.7 [731]		LVP	Kevin Edwards (NJN): -10.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed O'Bannon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.03	18	59%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	56%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	20	49%	-0.03	1	-0.03	13	77%	0.01
Jayson Williams	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	17	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Khalid Reeves	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Edwards	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.03	11	45%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rafael Addison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	6	86%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	12	70%	0.14	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.02	14	64%	0.10	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.13	-0.01	0.11	16	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	13	57%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
George Zidek	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tom Chambers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	13	46%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	2.4	24.4	15.5	24.4	1.6	32.2	121.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +50.3%

NJN -0.2%

CHH +3.5%

NJN -2.8%

NJN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHH	NBA	NJN	CHH	NBA
this game	16.1	14.4	15.6	105.3	120.2	104.4
season	15.4	15.7		101.7	108.0
opponent	16.0	14.9		106.5	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.5	16.0	17.5	15.6	16.1
CHH	15.2	14.0	14.6	13.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier McDaniel	33	33	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.14	11	-24	35	14.8	16.8	-2.07	14.1	14.5	-0.37
Kevin Edwards	57	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-14	15	15.8	16.5	-0.66	13.8	15.2	-1.32
Ed O'Bannon	24	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-8	3	17.0	15.8	1.25	14.0	14.5	-0.54
Tony Massenburg	35	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-7	1	15.5	16.4	-0.94	13.3	14.9	-1.64
Jayson Williams	65	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	-7	1	16.0	16.4	-0.43	15.2	12.6	2.62
Kendall Gill	89	88	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-4	-5	15.9	19.7	-3.80	14.6	10.5	4.13
Khalid Reeves	61	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	5	-23	16.6	15.3	1.26	14.5	14.0	0.52
Kerry Kittles	78	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.12	-13	0	-13	16.2	15.6	0.63	14.3	14.6	-0.35
Shawn Bradley	33	35	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.01	-20	7	-27	17.7	15.3	2.39	14.3	14.4	-0.03

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	78	79	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.01	24	-11	35	14.2	15.2	-1.07	16.7	13.2	3.51
Muggsy Bogues	72	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	1	11	14.7	13.2	1.54	16.4	15.3	1.03
Anthony Mason	86	86	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	6	1	14.7	10.6	4.08	16.2	14.8	1.47
Dell Curry	66	68	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	6	1	13.9	15.4	-1.42	16.2	15.8	0.46
Glen Rice	71	71	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	5	3	14.7	13.2	1.57	16.1	16.1	0.03
Rafael Addison	31	32	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	8	-3	13.9	14.6	-0.73	16.8	15.7	1.07
Tony Smith	41	42	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.06	7	6	1	14.3	14.4	-0.08	15.3	16.8	-1.47
Malik Rose	13	12	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	12	-11	12.6	14.6	-2.03	14.7	16.3	-1.55
George Zidek	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	6.0	14.5	-8.45	0.0	16.3	-16.28
Tom Chambers	11	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	19	-25	15.0	14.3	0.72	12.8	16.6	-3.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.37,0.51,0.42,0.55,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 103, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	94.3%
SAS 101, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
IND 90, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1	94.1%